Atlanta Fed Raphael Bostic told CNBC he has “penciled in” a rate increase in “late third, maybe early fourth” quarter of 2022. “Our experience from the pandemic has really frankly surprised to the upside,” he added “I’ve really adjusted my expectations moving forward.”

Bostic expected the supply chain disruptions to “last longer than we expected”. He said, “the labor markets are not going to get to equilibrium as quick as we hoped, but demand was also going to stay high and that combination was going to mean we’re going to have inflationary pressures.” It’s becoming “clearer and clearer” inflation pressure “is going to last into 2022.”

In a statement, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard explained by he voted for a 50bps rate hike on March 16 FOMC meeting, instead of 25bps. Additional, in the Summary of Economic Projections, he penciled in more rate hikes to 3% this year.

“The combination of strong real economic performance and unexpectedly high inflation means that the Committee’s policy rate is currently far too low to prudently manage the U.S. macroeconomic situation,” he said. “Moreover, U.S. monetary policy has been unwittingly easing further because inflation has risen sharply while the policy rate has remained very low, pushing short-term real interest rates lower. The Committee will have to move quickly to address this situation or risk losing credibility on its inflation target.”

Bullard also compared to what Fed did back in 1994 and 1995, where FOMC “made a similar discrete adjustment to the policy rate to better align it with the macroeconomic circumstances at that time”. And, the results were excellent”.

Full statement here.

St. Louis Fed President James Bullard told Fox Business network, that supply chain disruption is expected to extend through 2022. “if inflation is more persistent than we are saying right now, then I think we may have to take a little sooner action in order to keep inflation under control,” he added.

But he said, “we’ve done a lot to move the policy in a more hawkish direction.” And, “if we had to, we could end the taper somewhat sooner than June”.

He penciled in two rate hikes in 2022.

Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said, “inflation will stay more elevated in 2022”, but “we have time to be patient”. In his own view, Fed will not need to raise interest rates until 2023.

Nevertheless, in a speech, he said there are signs that inflation pressures could build up more broadly. “These developments deserve careful monitoring and present a greater upside risk to my inflation outlook than I had thought last summer.”

Separately, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said, “housing supply issues are unlikely to reverse materially in the short term, which suggests that we are likely to see higher inflation from housing for a while.”