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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 213.75; (P) 214.17; (R1) 214.85; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for retesting 214.98 high. Firm break there will confirm larger up trend resumption, and target 61.8% projection of 199.04 to 214.98 from 209.58 at 219.43. On the downside, below 213.47 minor support will delay the bullish case, and turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Firm break of 214.98 will target 61.8% projection of 148.93 (2022 low) to 208.09 (2024 high) from 184.35 at 220.90. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 204.47) holds, even in case of another deep pullback.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 186.16; (P) 186.53; (R1) 187.13; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Long term up trend is resuming and should target 161.8% projection of 180.78 to 184.75 from 182.56 at 188.98 next. On the downside, below 185.88 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. But near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 184.75 resistance turned support holds, in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) in in progress and should be ready to resume. Next target is 78.6% projection of 124.37 (2022 low) to 175.41 (2025 high) from 154.77 at 194.88 next. For now, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 175.41 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deeper pullback.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8701; (P) 0.8711; (R1) 0.8720; More…

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen below 0.8740. Further rise is mildly in favor as long as 0.8675 support holds. Break of 0.8740 will resume the rebound from 0.8610 to 0.8788 resistance. However, firm break of 0.8675 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8610 low instead.

In the bigger picture, strong support was seen again from 38.2% retracement of 0.8821 to 0.8863 at 0.8618. Break of 0.8788 resistance will argue that larger rise from 0.8221 might be ready to resume through 0.8863 (2025 high). Nevertheless, sustained trading below 0.8618 should confirm bearish reversal, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.8466 at least.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6528; (P) 1.6572; (R1) 1.6640; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. As noted before, rebound from 1.6125 could have completed at 1.6842, after rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 1.6720). Below 1.6497 will bring retest of 1.6125 low first. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.6708 will should resume the rebound from 1.6125 through 1.6842 to 38.2% retracement of 1.8554 to 1.6125 at 1.7053.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.8554 (2025 high) is in progress and deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.8554 at 1.5913, which is slightly below 1.5963 structural support. Decisive break there will pave the way back to 1.4281 (2022 low). For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.7163) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9226; (P) 0.9243; (R1) 0.9268; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and consolidations from 0.9264 could extend. Further rise is expected with 0.9155 support intact. Firm break of 0.9264 will resume the rebound from 0.8979 to 0.9394 resistance next. However, break of 0.9155 will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish convergence condition in W MACD, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8979. Sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9281) will add more credence to this case. Further break of 0.9394 resistance will pave the way to 0.9660 resistance next. However rejection by the 55 W EMA will set up another fall through 0.8979 low at a later stage.

GBP/USD Holds Firm, USD/CAD Bulls Target Breakout Move

GBP/USD started a downside correction from 1.3480. USD/CAD is gaining bullish momentum and might clear 1.3880 for more upside.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and USD/CAD Analysis Today

  • The British Pound rallied toward 1.3500 before the bears appeared.
  •  There was a break below a rising channel with support near 1.3410 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
  • USD/CAD is showing positive signs above the 1.3835 pivot zone.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3830 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair gained pace for a move toward 1.3300. The British Pound even climbed above 1.3450 before the bears appeared against the US Dollar.

A high was formed at 1.3485, and the pair started a minor downside correction. The pair traded below 1.3440, a rising channel, the 50-hour simple moving average, and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.3176 swing low to the 1.3485 high.

Finally, the bulls appeared near 1.3380, and the pair started a consolidation phase. Immediate hurdle on the upside is near 1.3410 and the 50-hour simple moving average.

The first major resistance is 1.3480. The main sell zone sits at 1.3500. A close above 1.3500 might spark a steady upward move. The next stop for the bulls might be near 1.3620. Any more gains could lead the pair toward 1.3650 in the near term.

If there is a fresh decline, initial bid zone on the GBP/USD chart sits at 1.3365. The next major area of interest could be 1.3330, the 50% Fib retracement, and a connecting bullish trend line, below which there is a risk of another sharp decline. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 1.3175.

USD/CAD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of USD/CAD at FXOpen, the pair formed a strong base above 1.3800. The US Dollar started a fresh increase above 1.3820 and 1.3850 against the Canadian Dollar.

More importantly, there was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.3830. The pair even climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3928 swing high to the 1.3799 low.

The pair is now consolidating above the 50-hour simple moving average. If there is another increase, the pair might face hurdles near 1.3880 and the 61.8% Fib retracement.

A clear upside break above 1.3880 could start another steady increase. In the stated case, the pair could test 1.3900. A close above 1.3900 might send the pair toward 1.3930. Any more gains could open the doors for a test of 1.3980.

Initial support is near the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.3835. The next key breakdown zone could be 1.3810. The main hurdle for the bears might be 1.3800 on the same USD/CAD chart.

A downside break below 1.3800 could push the pair further lower. The next key area of interest might be 1.3765, below which the pair might visit 1.3720.

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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1689; (P) 1.1714; (R1) 1.1751; More….

Intraday bias in EUR/USD is turned neutral with current retreat. On the upside, above 1.1739 will target 61.8% retracement of 1.2081 to 1.1408 at 1.1824. Decisive break there will pave the way to retest 1.2081 high. Nevertheless, sustained break of 55 4H EMA (now at 1.1622) will argue that rebound from 1.1408 has completed as a corrective move, and bring retest of this low.

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 38.2% retracement of 1.0176 to 1.2081 at 1.1353 suggests that the pullback from 1.2081 is more likely a corrective move. Strong support was also found in 55 W EMA (now at 1.1513). Focus is back on 1.2 key cluster resistance level. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications. Nevertheless, break of 1.1408 support will revive the case of medium term bearish trend reversal.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.98; (P) 159.23; (R1) 159.56; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Consolidations from 160.45 could still extend further. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 157.49 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 152.25 to 160.45 at 157.31) holds. On the upside break of 160.45 will target a retest on 161.94 high. However, firm break of 157.31/49 will bring deeper fall back to 61.8% retracement at 155.38 next.

In the bigger picture, outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) should have completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 155.24) holds. Firm break of 161.94 will pave the way to 61.8% projection of 102.58 to 161.94 from 139.87 at 176.75.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3422; (P) 1.3451; (R1) 1.3491; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, above 1.3483 will resume the rebound from 1.3158, and target 61.8% retracement of 1.3867 to 1.3158 at 1.3596. Firm break there will bring retest of 1.3867 high. Nevertheless, sustained break of 55 4H EMA (now at 1.3348) will bring retest of 1.3158 instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 1.3867 are merely a corrective pattern within the broader up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). With 1.3008 support intact, medium term bullishness is maintained and break of 1.3867 is back in favor for a later stage, towards 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7859; (P) 0.7888; (R1) 0.7921; More….

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, sustained trading below 0.7877 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.7603 to 0.8041 at 0.7874) will argue that the rise from 0.7603 has completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 0.7770 and below. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.7925 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 0.8041.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.7603 medium term bottom is seen as correcting the fall from 0.9200 only. Rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.8081) will affirm this bearish case, and setup down trend resumption to 100% projection of 1.0146 (2022 high) to 0.8332 from 0.9200 at 0.7382 at a later stage. Though, sustained break of 55 W EMA will suggest that it's probably correcting the larger scale down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).