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Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral at this point, and some more consolidations could be seen first. Further fall is expected as long as 55 4H EMA (now at 1.3454) holds. Below 1.3300 will target a retest on 1.3158 support first. However, sustained break of the EMA will dampen the bearish case and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3657 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that price actions from 1.3867 are merely a corrective pattern within the broader up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). With 1.3008 support intact, medium term bullishness is maintained and break of 1.3867 is in favor for a later stage, towards 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high). However, firm break of 1.3008 will at least bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3867 at 1.2524, with increased risk of bearish reversal.

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside as rise from 0.7760 is in progress. Firm break of 0.7823 resistance will argue that fall from 0.8041 has completed as a three wave correction, and bring further rise to retest this high. On the downside, below 0.7837 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.8035) holds, fall from 0.9200 is expected to continue, as part of the larger down trend. Firm break of 0.7603 will target 100% projection of 1.0146 (2022 high) to 0.8332 from 0.9200 at 0.7382.

AUD/USD dipped to 0.7076 but quickly recovered. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the upside, above 0.7183 minor resistance will suggest that pullback from 0.7277 has completed. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for retesting this high. However, decisive break of 0.7076 will bring deeper decline back towards 0.6832 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.5913 (2024 low) is still in progress. Decisive break of 61.8% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.7206 will solidify the case that it's already reversing the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Further rally should then be seen to retest 0.8006. For now, outlook will remain bullish as long as 0.6832 support holds, in case of pullback.

No change in USD/CAD's outlook and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside. Rebound from 1.3549 is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.3480. Further rise would be seen towards 1.3965 resistance. On the downside, below 1.3729 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4791 are seen as a corrective pattern to the whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper fall could be seen, as the pattern extends, to 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.4791 at 1.3069. However, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 1.4791 to 1.3480 at 1.3981 will argue that the correction has completed with three waves down to 1.3480 already.

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues. Consolidations from 210.43 is extending with another rising leg. On the downside, firm break of 210.43 will resume the corrective fall from 21658. However, sustained break of 214.40 will bring stronger rise back to retest 216.58 high instead.

In the bigger picture, while the fall from 216.58 is steep, there is no clear sign of trend reversal yet. The long term up trend could still extend to 61.8% projection of 148.93 (2022 low) to 208.09 (2024 high) from 184.35 at 220.90 on resumption. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 205.91) will argue that it's already in medium term down trend for 184.35 support.

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral. . As noted before, pullback from 187.93 could have completed at 182.01 already. Further rise is in favor as long as 184.02 minor support holds. Above 185.44 will target a retest on 187.93 high. Nevertheless, break of 184.02 minor support will turn bias back to the downside towards 182.01 again.

In the bigger picture, the pullback from 187.93 is steep, there is no sign of reversal yet. Uptrend from 114.42 is still expected to resume at a later stage to 78.6% projection of 124.37 (2022 low) to 175.41 (2025 high) from 154.77 at 194.88. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 178.27) will argue that it's already in a medium term down trend to 175.41 resistance turned support and below.

Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8740 should pave the way through 0.8788 to retest 0.8863 high. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.8610 will revive the case of bearish trend reversal.

In the bigger picture, focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 0.8821 to 0.8863 at 0.8618. Strong rebound from there will retain medium term bullishness. Rise from 0.8221 should resume through 0.8863 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 0.8618 will confirm that whole rise from 0.8221 has completed at 0.8863. Deeper decline should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.8466 at least.

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral first with current retreat. Risk is mildly on the upside as long as 1.6108 support holds. Rise from there is seen as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.6125. Above 1.6381 will target 55 D EMA (now at 1.6452). On the downside, break of 1.6108 will resume larger fall from 1.8554 to 1.5913 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.8554 (2025 high) is in progress and deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.8554 at 1.5913, which is slightly below 1.5963 structural support. Decisive break there will pave the way back to 1.4281 (2022 low). For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.7012) holds, even in case of strong rebound.

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first with current recovery On the downside, below 0.9130 temporary low will extend the corrective fall from 0.9264 to 61.8% retracement of 0.8979 to 0.9264 at 0.9088. On the upside, however, break of 0.9174 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to retest 0.9264 high instead.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish convergence condition in W MACD, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8979. Sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.9241) will add more credence to this case. Further break of 0.9394 resistance will pave the way to 0.9660 resistance next. However rejection by the 55 W EMA will set up another fall through 0.8979 low at a later stage.

AUD/USD failed to stay in a positive zone and declined below 0.7150. NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5800.

Important Takeaways for AUD/USD and NZD/USD Analysis Today

• The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above 0.7200 against the US Dollar.
• There is a bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.7120 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
• NZD/USD declined steadily from 0.5965 and traded below 0.5880.
• There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5855 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear 0.7220. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below 0.7150 against the US Dollar.

The pair even settled below 0.7120 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.7100. A low was formed at 0.7081, and the pair is now consolidating losses. There was a minor recovery wave above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.7184 swing high to the 0.7081 low.

On the upside, the immediate hurdle could be near the 38.2% Fib retracement at 0.7120. There is also a bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.7120 and the 50-hour simple moving average.

The next major level for the bears could be 0.7185. The main selling point could be 0.7210, above which the price could rise toward 0.7265. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.7320. A close above 0.7320 could start another steady increase in the near term. In the stated case, the next key resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.7500.

On the downside, initial support could be near 0.7080. The next area of interest might be 0.7040. If there is a downside break below 0.7040, the pair could extend its decline. The next target for the bears might be 0.7000. Any more losses might send the pair toward 0.6920.

NZD/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.5965 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.5920 against the US Dollar.

The pair settled below 0.5880 and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested 0.5815 and is currently consolidating losses below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5882 swing high to the 0.5815 low.

If the pair recovers, it could face hurdles near the 38.2% Fib retracement at 0.5840. The next major barrier could be at 0.5855. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5855.

If there is a move above 0.5880, the pair could rise toward 0.5920. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward 0.5965 in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart could be 0.5815.

The next major stop for the bears might be 0.5780. If there is a downside break below 0.5780, the pair could extend its decline toward 0.5720. The main target for the bears could be 0.5650.

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