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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.82; (P) 164.40; (R1) 165.31; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. Corrective pattern from 168.67 could still extend further. Below 162.98 minor support will target 160.37. Nevertheless, break of 166.23 will bring retest of 168.67 high instead. And, larger up trend might be ready to resume in this case.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93 will be a long term bullish signal, and could pave the way back to 195.86 high. This will now remain the favored case as long as 155.57 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 137.85; (P) 138.84; (R1) 139.55; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Fall from 142.31 is seen as a falling leg inside the corrective pattern from 144.23. Deeper decline would be seen to 136.85 support. On the upside, above 140.06 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 142.31 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8379; (P) 0.8436; (R1) 0.8466; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside. Break of 0.8401 support will resume the whole decline from 0.8720. This will also affirm the case of rejection by 0.8697 fibonacci level. Deeper fall would be seen back to retest 0.8201 low. On the upside, above 0.8474 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, attention remains on 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will affirm the case that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend itself. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. However, rejection by 0.8697 will confirm medium term bearishness for another fall through 0.8201.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4522; (P) 1.4620; (R1) 1.4683; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the downside at this point. Fall from 1.5396 should target a test on 1.4318 low next. Decisive break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 1.4803 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral, and bring consolidations first, before staging another decline.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.5354 support turned resistance, as well as 55 week EMA (now at 1.5378), maintain medium term bearishness. That is, larger down trend from 1.9799 is not completed yet. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9699; (P) 0.9783; (R1) 0.9826; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is back on the downside as down trend resumes. Next target is 0.9650 long term projection level. On the upside, break of 0.9948 minor resistance is needed to indicate short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture,long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is expected to target 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. On the upside, break of 1.0513 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0067; (P) 1.0159; (R1) 1.0209; More...

EUR/USD is staying range above 1.0118 minor support and intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, firm break of 1.0118 will suggest that rebound from 0.9951 has completed. Bias will be back on the downside for retesting 0.9951 low. On the upside, above 1.0277 will resume the rebound to 1.0348 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0773 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1965; (P) 1.2027; (R1) 1.2091; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays neutral for the moment, but further rise is mildly in favor with 1.1888 minor support intact. Above 1.2089 will target 55 day EMA (now at 1.2236). Sustained trading above there will pave the way to 1.2405 resistance and above. On the downside, below 1.1888 minor support will bring retest of 1.1759 low instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2666 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2666 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2986).

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9609; (P) 0.9638; (R1) 0.9661; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the downside with 0.9738 minor resistance intact. Fall from 0.9884 is seen as a falling leg of the consolidation from 1.0063. Deeper decline would be seen to 0.9493 support. On the upside, though, above 0.9738 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9884 resistance.

In the bigger picture, medium term up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. On resumption, next target is 1.0342 (2016 high). Sustained break there will resume long term up trend from 0.7065 (2011 low). This will remain the favored case as long as 0.9471 resistance turned support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.48; (P) 136.73; (R1) 137.17; More...

Range trading continues in USD/JPY and intraday bias remains neutral at this point. On the downside, firm break of 134.73 will confirm short term topping, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour and daily MACD. Deeper fall would be seen through 55 day EMA to 126.35/131.34 support zone. On the upside, break of 139.37 will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, current rally is seen as part of the long term up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). Next target is 100% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 149.26, which is close to 147.68 (1998 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 126.35 support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6912; (P) 0.6948; (R1) 0.6973; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral again with current retreat. On the upside, break of 0.6982, and sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 0.6965) will pave the way to 0.7282 resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 0.6858 minor support will argue that the rebound from 0.6680 is over. Intraday bias will then be back on the downside for retesting 0.6680 low.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 (2021 high) could still be a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). But current downside acceleration, as seen in weekly MACD), is raising the chance that it's a bearish impulsive move. In either case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7282 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461.