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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 139.76; (P) 140.32; (R1) 140.95; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 139.59 temporary low. Another rebound cannot be ruled out. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 143.93 resistance holds. On the downside, decisive break of 139.29/47 key support zone will carry larger bearish implications.
In the bigger picture, as long as 139.29 cluster support (50% retracement of 122.36 to 156.59 at 139.47) holds, up trend from 122.36 (2016 low) could still extend beyond 156.69 high. However, decisive break of 139.29/47 will suggest that such up trend is completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, next target is 61.8% retracement at 135.43.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 126.24; (P) 126.67; (R1) 127.36; More....
EUR/JPY's recovery from 125.52 extends higher but as it's seen as a correction, intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook will also say bearish as long as 127.63 resistance holds. On the downside, below 125.52 will target 124.08/89 support zone next.
In the bigger picture, with the current decline, focus would be back on 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds. As long as 124.08 key resistance turn supported holds, larger up trend from 109.03 (2016 low) could still resume. Firm break of 137.49 structural resistance will target 141.04/149.76 resistance zone next. However, decisive break of 124.08 will argue that such rise from 109.03 has completed and turn outlook bearish. In that case, deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 109.03 to 137.49 at 119.90.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8988; (P) 0.9024; (R1) 0.9078; More...
EUR/GBP rebounded strongly again but it;'s still bounded in consolidation from 0.9086. Intraday bias stays neutral and outlook remains bullish with 0.8931 support intact. On the upside firm break of 0.9098 resistance will extend the whole rise from 0.8655 to 0.9304 key resistance next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, firm break of 0.8931 will indicate near term reversal and target 0.8810 support and below.
In the bigger picture, EUR/GBP is seen as staying in long term range pattern started at 0.9304 (2016 high). It should be in medium term rising leg for 0.9304. Meanwhile, in case of another fall, down side should be contained by 0.8620/55 support zone to bring rebound.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6100; (P) 1.6209; (R1) 1.6371; More....
EUR/AUD's rally resumed after brief consolidation and reaches as high as 1.6316 so far. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise from 1.5346 should target 1.6357 high. At this point, we'd be cautious on topping around there to bring pull back. On the downside, break of 1.6047 support is needed to signal short term topping. Otherwise, near term outlook will remain bullish in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, no change in the view that 1.6357 is a medium term top. But the strong rebound ahead of 1.5271 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3624 to 1.6357 at 1.5313) suggests price actions from 1.6357 are developing into sideway consolidation, rather than a deep correction. The range of 1.5271/6357 is likely set for the consolidation. And we don't expect a break of the range any time soon. But decisive break of 1.6357 will resume the larger up trend from 1.3624 (2017 low) to 1.6587 (2015 high).
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1251; (P) 1.1283; (R1) 1.1323; More...
EUR/CHF is staying in range of 1.1224/1348 and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.1224 will resume the decline from 1.1501 to 1.1173 low. On the upside, though, break of 1.1348 resistance should confirm near term reversal and target 1.1501 resistance.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.2004 medium term top is seen as a correction only. Downside should be contained by support zone of 1.1198 (2016 high) and 61.8% retracement of 1.0629 to 1.2004 at 1.1154 to complete it and bring rebound. A break of 1.2 key resistance is still expected in the medium term long term. However, sustained break of the mentioned support zone will mark reversal of the long term trend. In that case, 1.0629 key support will be back into focus.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3568; (P) 1.3614; (R1) 1.3665; More...
USD/CAD continues to lose upside momentum in as seen in 4 hour MACD. But intraday bias on the upside with 1.3566 minor support intact. Current rally should target 1.3685 fibonacci level next. Break there will target 1.3793 key medium term resistance. On the downside, below 1.3566 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations. But downside should be contained above 1.3322 support to bring another rally.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2061 (2017 low) is still in progress and should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 (2016 high) to 1.2061 at 1.3685. At this point, the structure is not clearly impulsive yet. Hence, we'd be cautious on topping between 1.3685/3793. But in any case, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as channel support (now at 1.2991) holds. Sustained break of 1.3793 will pave the way to retest 1.4689 (2015 high).
AUD/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7005; (P) 0.7041; (R1) 0.7067; More...
AUD/USD dropped to as low as 0.7016 but couldn't sustain below 0.7020 key support yet. At this point, further fall is expected as long as 0.7077 minor resistance holds. Sustained break of 0.7020 will resume larger decline from 0.8135 for 0.6826 key support. However, rebound from current level and break of 0.7077 will suggest short term bottoming. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.7191).
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.7020 are corrective in nature. In case such corrective pattern extends, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 0.8135 to 0.7020 at 0.7446 to bring down trend resumption. Firm break of 0.7020 will extend medium term decline from 0.8135 to retest 0.6826 (2016 low).
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.50; (P) 110.94; (R1) 111.43; More..
USD/JPY is staying in range above 110.13 and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the downside, break of 110.13 will extend the whole decline from 114.54 and target 109.76 key support level. Break there will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 111.46, with 109.76 key support defended, will revive near term bullishness. In this case, intraday bias is turned back to the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 112.67) first.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 (2015 high) are seen as a long term corrective pattern, no change in this view. Apparently, such corrective pattern is not completed yet. Break of 109.76 support will start another medium term down leg to 98.97/104.62 support zone. On the upside, break of 114.73 resistance will likely extend the rise from 98.97 through 118.65 resistance.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9825; (P) 0.9892; (R1) 0.9945; More...
USD/CHF dropped sharply after failing to break through 0.9989 resistance. Focus is back on 0.9848 key support level. For now, we'd still expect strong support from 0.9848 to contain downside to complete the correction from 1.0128. On the upside, break of 0.9963 resistance will argue that such correction is completed. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for retesting 1.0128 high. However, decisive break of 0.9848 support will bring deeper decline to 0.9541 key support instead.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the medium term rally from 0.9186 hasn't completed yet. Break of 1.0128 will target 1.0342 key resistance next (2016 high). On the downside, firm break of 0.9848 support will dampen this bullish view and turn focus back to 0.9541 key support instead.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2616; (P) 1.2646; (R1) 1.2675; More....
No change in GBP/USD's outlook as it's staying in consolidation from 1.2476. Intraday bias remains neutral at this point. Stronger recovery might be seen. But upside should be limited by 1.2811 resistance to bring decline resumption. On the downside, break of 1.2476 will extend larger down trend from 1.4376 to 61.8% projection of 1.4376 to 1.2661 from 1.3174 at 1.2114. However, firm break of 1.2811 will be an early signal of trend reversal and turn focus back to 1.3174 resistance.
In the bigger picture, whole medium term rebound from 1.1946 (2016 low) should have completed at 1.4376 already, after rejection from 55 month EMA. The structure and momentum of the fall from 1.4376 argues that it's resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). And this will now remain the preferred case as long as 1.3174 structural resistance holds. GBP/USD should now target a test on 1.1946 first. Decisive break there will confirm our bearish view.




















