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GBPUSD Former Weekly Low In Focus
The British pound has come under a fresh round of selling pressure against the greenback, as the US dollar Index continues to trade higher. The former weekly trading low is now in focus, at 1.3054, as the GBPUSD pair softens below the 1.3100 level. Sellers will look to target the 1.3000 support level while buyers will attempt to push price above the pivotal 1.3113 level.
The GBPUSD pair is strongly bearish while trading below the 1.3054 level, key support is now found at the 1.3030 and 1.3000 levels.
If the GBPUSD pair moves above the 1.3113 level buyers are likely to test towards the 1.3144 and 1.3217 levels.
DAX Slides As Italian Budget Unnerves Markets
The DAX index is steady in the Friday session, after sharp gains on Thursday. Currently, the index is at 12,275 points, down 1.31% on the day. In economic news, German unemployment change plunged by 23 thousand, easily beating the estimate of -9 thousand. In the eurozone, inflation indicators missed their estimates. CPI Flash Estimate edged higher to 2.1%, matching the forecast. CPI Core Flash Estimate ticked lower to 0.9%, shy of the estimate of 1.1%.
European equity markets have lost ground on Friday, led by Italian markets which are sharply lower. Investors reacted negatively after the Italian government approved a controversial budget on Thursday, which aims for a budget deficit in 2019 of 2.4% of GDP. This number could move higher as the budget is debated in parliament. Although EU guidelines allow a deficit of 3%, Brussels will be nervously following the budget. The markets were hoping that Italy’s budget deficit would be around 2%, and Brussels will be nervously following the budget. As well, investors could lose confidence in Italian government bonds, which could weigh further on risk appetite.
In its monthly economic bulletin, the ECB said that it expected global growth to slow in the near term and warned about the effects of the escalating global trade war. The report highlighted “further tariff increases and uncertainties about future trading relations” as factors which could dampen global growth. Still, with the eurozone economy performing fairly well, the ECB is on track to halve its monthly asset purchases to EUR 15 billion and wind up the stimulus program in December. Earlier in the week, the ECB released a study which indicated that if the U.S-China trade spat continued, the U.S would be the big loser, as a result of a decrease in trade and weaker investor and consumer confidence.
NZD/USD Moving Towards Support Level At 0.6583
The New Zealand Dollar has depreciated significantly against the US Dollar since the beginning of this week. The currency pair has lost about 1.47% of its values.
The exchange rate dashed through a support cluster formed by the 200-hour simple moving average and the weekly PP at 0.6637 during the first part of Friday's trading session.
Everything being equal, it is likely that the NZD/USD currency exchange rate will continue its downside momentum until the pair hit a two-week low level at 0.6583 during the following trading session.
USD/CAD Breaches 61.80% Fibo
The Canadian Dollar depreciated about 0.94% against the US Dollar on Thursday. The exchange rate made bounced off a support cluster formed by the weekly PP and the 50-hour simple moving average at 1.2955 during the first part of yesterday's trading session.
Presently, the currency pair has tested a support cluster formed by the 61.80% Fibonacci retracement level and the 50-hour SMA at 1.3016.
Given that the price has breached the support level as mentioned above, the next target for the rate will be the 100-hour SMA at 1.2985.
On the other hand, the currency exchange rate could reverse from current price level and aim at the 50.00% Fibo at 1.3057 today.
AUD/USD Bounces Off Support
The US Dollar appreciated by 65 pips against the Australian Dollar on Thursday. The pair reversed from a resistance level formed by the 100-hour SMA at 0.7260 and had since reached the bottom border of an ascending channel pattern.
As apparent of the 1(H) chart, the price made a U-turn north at 0.7219 during the morning hours of Friday's session. From a technical position, it is likely that a surge towards a resistance cluster formed by the 50-hour simple moving average and the weekly PP near 0.7245 could happen within this trading day.
However, technical indicators on the 4(H) time frame demonstrate that a slight downside risk is still apparent during the following trading session.
EUR/JPY Breaches Support Cluster At 131.75
The Eurozone single currency depreciated about 100 base points against the Japanese Yen on Thursday. The currency pair is near a support cluster formed by the weekly and the monthly PPs at 131.85 during the morning hours of Friday's trading session.
Everything being equal, it is likely that the exchange rate continues to move down towards the weekly S1 at 130.58 during the following trading session.
However, technical indicators suggest that this decline might not be immediate. The EUR/JPY currency pair could make a brief retracement towards the 50-hour simple moving average at 132.31 in the coming hours.
EUR/USD Slumps To 1.1620
The European Single Currency depreciated 1.04% against the US Dollar since Thursday's session. The rate was located at the 1.1629 mark on Friday morning.
In regards to the near future, most likely, the rate will move down towards the monthly PP at the 1.1546 mark to trade in the 1.1580 area on Friday. The simple moving averages will try to catch up the rate to resist the European Single currency.
On the other hand, any fundamental news may change the trade direction of the currency pair to move it upwards to locate near the 1.1680 mark during the day.
GBP/USD Faces Bearish Outlook
The British pound depreciated 0.97% against the US Dollar since Thursday's session. On Friday morning, the rate was located at the 1.3067 mark.
In the near-term future, most likely, the rate will keep trading downwards due to a lock of the technical indicators and any support levels which might stop the British pound from bearish outlook on Friday. The rate might fall below the 1.30 level in the next couple of days.
On the other hand, the UK Current Account data release at 8:30 GMT on Friday may change the direction of the currency pair to recover itself from trading near the bottom boundary of the medium ascending line at the 1.3140 mark.
USD/JPY Trades Near R2 At 113.40
The US Dollar appreciated 0.70% against the Japanese Yen since Thursday's session. On Friday, the US Dollar was located between the monthly R2 and the weekly R2 at the 113.44 mark.
In regards to the near future, the rate will surge to the weekly R2 at the 113.59 mark but might bounce off the level to keep trading in the 113.50 are during the day. During the Friday trading session, the simple moving averages will try to catch up the rate to give additional support to break the resistance of the weekly R2.
On the other side, the rate might ignore the weekly R2 resistance to break through the 113.59 level to trade in the 113.70 area.
XAU/USD Will Trade Downside
The gold price depreciated 1.27% since Thursday's trading session. On Friday, the yellow metal was located below the monthly pivot point at the 1,1826 mark.
In regards to the near-term future, most likely, the yellow metal will trade downside to the monthly S1 at the 1,1661 level. The bearish outlook cannot be prevented due to the technical indicators absence. The simple moving averages will keep to catch up the rate in next couple of trading session.
However, the situation can be changed if fundamentals will appear shortly









