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USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 153.40; (P) 154.82; (R1) 155.94; More...

USD/JPY recovered after dipping to 153.70 and intraday bias is turned neutral first. On the upside, break of 156.74 resistance will indicate that fall from 158.86 has completed as a correction. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 158.86 and above to resume the whole rally from 138.57. On the downside, below 153.70 will resume the fall from 158.86 to 38.2% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 151.49.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2443; (P) 1.2483; (R1) 1.2540; More...

GBP/USD's rebound from 1.2099 lost momentum as seen in 4H MACD, and intraday bias is turned neutral. While another rise cannot be ruled out, strong resistance could be seen 38.2% retracement of 1.3433 to 1.2099 at 1.2609 to limit upside. On the downside, below 1.2292 minor support will bring retest of 1.2099 low. However, sustained trading above 1.2609 will raise the chance of reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2923.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) should have already completed at 1.3433 (2024 high), and the trend has reversed. Further fall is now expected as long as 1.2810 resistance holds. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.1528, even as a corrective move. However, firm break of 1.2810 will dampen this bearish view and bring retest of 1.3433 high instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8966; (P) 0.9019; (R1) 0.9074; More

USD/CHF recovered after drawing support from near term rising channel and 55 D EMA. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Rise from 0.8374 remains intact so far. On the upside, break of 0.9107 will target 0.9200 and 0.9223 key resistance. On the downside, break of 0.8964 will resume the fall from 0.9200 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8374 to 0.9200 at 0.8884 next.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9223 resistance holds, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern. That is, long term down trend is in favor to resume through 0.8332 at a later stage. However, sustained break of 0.9223 will be an important sign of bullish trend reversal.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6276; (P) 0.6292; (R1) 0.6309; More...

AUD/USD's breach of 0.6252 minor support argues that corrective rebound from 0.6130 has completed at 0.6329 already. Intraday bias is now mildly on the downside for retesting 0.6130 low. On the upside, above 0.6329 will resume the rebound. But still, strong resistance is expected from 38.2% retracement of 0.6941 to 0.6130 at 0.6440 to limit upside to complete this corrective rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.6941 (2024 high) is seen as part of the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Next medium term target is 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6545) holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4337; (P) 1.4370; (R1) 1.4405; More...

Range trading continues in USD/CAD and intraday bias remains neutral. Further rally is expected as long as 1.4260 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 1.4516 will resume larger up trend to 1.4667/89 key resistance zone. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.4260 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback to 55 D EMA (now at 1.4221) and below.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021) is in progress for retesting 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs). Decisive break there will confirm long term up trend resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4993. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3976 resistance turned holds (2022 high), even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9421; (P) 0.9470; (R1) 0.9512; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral at this point. On the downside, firm break of 0.9242 support will indicate rejection by 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481. Deeper fall would then be seen back to channel support (now at 0.9377). However, strong rebound from current level will keep the choppy rally from 0.9204 intact.

In the bigger picture, fall from 0.9928 should have completed at 0.9204 with the current strong rebound, after failing to sustain below 0.9252 (2023 low). It's still early to confirm long term bullish reversal. But even as a corrective move, current rebound could extend to 61.8% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9651. On the downside, firm break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.9387) will maintain medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9204 low.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8382; (P) 0.8402; (R1) 0.8412; More...

Break of 0.8403 support confirms short term topping at 0.8472 in EUR/GBP. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8354). Sustained break there will argue that whole rebound from 0.8221 has completed as a corrective move. Nevertheless, strong bounce from the 55 D EMA, followed by break of 0.8472 resistance, will resume the rally towards 0.8624 key cluster resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 0.8221, just ahead of 0.8201 key support (2022 low). Sustained trading above 55 W EMA (now at 0.8442) will pave the way to 0.8624 cluster zone (38.2% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8621), even just as a correction to the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). But still, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.8621/4 holds.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6621; (P) 1.6674; (R1) 1.6728; More...

EUR/AUD is still bounded in range below 1.6800 and intraday bias remains neutral. In case of another dip, strong support is expected from 38.2% retracement of 1.5963 to 1.6800 at 1.6480 to contain downside. On the upside, firm break of 1.6800 will resume the rally from 1.5963. However, sustained break of 1.6480 will bring deeper correction 61.8% retracement at 1.6283 instead.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is holding on to 1.5996 key support (2024 low) despite brief breach. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5996 will indicate that such up trend has completed and deeper decline would be seen.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 161.27; (P) 162.38; (R1) 163.21; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for the moment. Overall outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 154.40 could extend. On the upside, break of 164.07 will target 164.89 and above. On the downside, break of 160.94 minor support will bring deeper fall through 159.74 support.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 191.98; (P) 193.31; (R1) 194.47; More...

GBP/JPY recovered above 192.05 minor support and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Overall outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 180.00 might extend. On the upside above 194.73 will target 198.94/197.79 resistance zone. On the downside, however, break of 192.05 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 189.31 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to whole rally from 123.94 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 and 208.09. However, decisive break of 175.94 will argue that deeper correction is underway.