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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 186.70; (P) 188.14; (R1) 189.24; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for 100% projection of 198.94 to 189.31 from 194.73 at 185.10. Decisive break there will target 138.2% projections at 181.42. On the upside, above 189.57 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will stay on the downside as long as 194.73 resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to rally from 123.94 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall to 100% projection of 208.09 to 180.00 from 199.79 at 171.70, even still as a correction.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.49; (P) 156.75; (R1) 157.64; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for 100% projection of 166.7 to 156.16 from 164.89 at 154.38. Firm break of 154.40 support will resume whole fall from 175.41 and target 152.11 key fibonacci support. On the upside, above 158.00 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first. But risk will remain on the downside as long as 159.74 support turned resistance holds, in case of recovery.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). Strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 to contain downside. However, sustained break of 152.11 will bring deeper fall to 100% projection of 175.41 to 154.40 from 166.57 at 145.56, even still as a correction.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8312; (P) 0.8334; (R1) 0.8349; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. Near term outlook is mixed for now. On the upside, above 0.8376 minor resistance will bring stronger rally towards 0.8472. However, on the downside, break of 0.8290 will resume the fall from 08472 to retest 0.8221 low.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8221 medium term bottom could extend higher through 55 W EMA (now at 0.8435). However, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.8624 cluster resistance zone (38.2% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8621) holds. Another decline through 0.8221 would remain mildly in favor.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6428; (P) 1.6493; (R1) 1.6531; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains on the downside for the moment. A double top reversal pattern (1.6800, 1.6789) could be formed. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.5963 to 1.6800 at 1.6283. On the upside, however, break of 1.6593 minor resistance will dampen this bearish case and turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.6800 instead.

In the bigger picture, with 1.5996 key support (2024 low) intact, larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5996 will indicate that such up trend has completed and deeper decline would be seen.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9377; (P) 0.9404; (R1) 0.9424; More....

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidations above 0.9359 and intraday bias remains neutral. While another recovery cannot be ruled out, risk will stay on the downside as long as 0.9516 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9336 support will solidify the case that corrective rebound from 0.9204 has already completed at 0.9516. Deeper fall would then be seen to retest 0.9204 low.

In the bigger picture, the rejection by 55 W EMA (now at 0.9489) argues that rebound from 0.9204 has completed as a corrective move after failing to sustain above 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481. Firm break of 0.9204/9 support zone will confirm larger down trend resumption.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0289; (P) 1.0345; (R1) 1.0383; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and consolidation from 1.0176 could extend. But outlook stays bearish as long as 38.2% retracement of 1.1213 to 1.0176 at 1.0572 holds. On the downside, break of 1.0176 will resume whole fall from 1.1213. However, decisive break of 1.0572 will raise the chance of reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0817.

In the bigger picture, immediate focus is on 61.8 retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 (2024 high) at 1.0199. Sustained break there will solidify the case of medium term bearish trend reversal, and pave the way back to 0.9534. However, reversal from 1.0199 will argue that price actions from 1.1274 are merely a corrective pattern, and has already completed.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 150.73; (P) 151.57; (R1) 152.26; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral with focus on 38.2% retracement of 139.57 to 158.86 at 151.49. Strong bounce from there, followed by break of 153.70 support turned resistance, will retain near term bullishness, and turn bas back to the upside for retesting 158.86. However, sustained trading below 151.49 will suggest that whole rise from 139.57 has completed, and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 146.32 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). In case of another fall, strong support should be seen from 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 to bring rebound. However, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2364; (P) 1.2417; (R1) 1.2458; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Initial bias stays neutral this week first. While corrective rebound from 1.2099 might still extend, upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.3433 to 1.2099 at 1.2609. On the downside, break of 1.2248 support will bring retest of 1.2099 low. Firm break there will resume whole fall from 1.3433. However, decisive break of 1.2609 will raise the chance of near term reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.2923.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) should have already completed at 1.3433 (2024 high), and the trend has reversed. Further fall is now expected as long as 1.2810 resistance holds. Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.1528, even as a corrective move. However, firm break of 1.2810 will dampen this bearish view and bring retest of 1.3433 high instead.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9059; (P) 0.9083; (R1) 0.9122; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and consolidation from 0.9200 could extend further. But overall outlook stays bullish with 0.8956/64 support zone intact. On the upside, firm break of 0.9200/9223 will resume the whole rally from 0.8374 and carry larger bullish implication. However, sustained break of 0.8964 will be a sign of reversal and turn bias back to the downside.

In the bigger picture, decisive break of 0.9223 resistance will argue that whole down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) has completed with three waves down to 0.8332 (2023 low). Outlook will be turned bullish for 1.0146 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223 will retain medium term bearishness for another decline through 0.8332 at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4262; (P) 1.4304; (R1) 1.4333; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. Strong support is expected from 1.4260 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.3418 to 1.4791 at 1.4267), which is also close to 55 D EMA (now at 1.4267), to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.4501 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.4791 short term top. However, firm break of 1.4260 will indicate that deeper correction is underway, and turn bias to the downside.

In the bigger picture, long term up trend is tentatively seen as resuming with breach of 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs). Next target is 100% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4993. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3976 resistance turned holds (2022 high), even in case of deep pullback.