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Japan’s Machinery Orders Sharply Rebounded In July

For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, the USD declined 0.55% against the JPY and closed at 107.77 on Friday.

In the Asian session, at GMT0300, the pair is trading at 108.39, with the USD trading 0.58% higher against the USD from Friday's close.

Overnight data indicated that Japan's machinery orders rebounded by 8.0% MoM in July, surpassing market expectations for an advance of 4.2%. In the prior month, machinery orders had recorded a drop of 1.9%.

Earlier today, data revealed that the nation's tertiary industry index rebounded 0.1% in July, in line with market expectations. The index had dropped by a revised 0.2% in the previous month.

The pair is expected to find support at 107.62, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 106.85. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 108.86, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 109.33.

Moving forward, traders will eye Japan's flash machine tool orders for August, scheduled to release in a while.

The currency pair is trading above its 20 Hr moving average and showing convergence with its 50 Hr moving average.

Switzerland’s Unemployment Rate Remained Steady In August

For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, the USD declined 0.55% against the CHF and closed at 0.9450 on Friday.

On the macro front, Switzerland's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.2% in August, meeting market expectations.

In the Asian session, at GMT0300, the pair is trading at 0.9490, with the USD trading 0.42% higher against the CHF from Friday's close.

The pair is expected to find support at 0.9439, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 0.9387. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 0.9524, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 0.9557.

The currency pair is trading above its 20 Hr moving average and showing convergence with its 50 Hr moving average.

Canadian Unemployment Rate Dipped To A 9-Year Low In August

For the 24 hours to 23:00 GMT, the USD rose 0.26% against the CAD and closed at 1.2146 on Friday.

Macroeconomic data showed that Canada's unemployment rate unexpectedly fell to 6.2% in August, hitting a nine-year low level and adding to the narrative of a strengthening economy. Meanwhile, investors had envisaged for the unemployment rate to remain unchanged at 6.3%.

In the Asian session, at GMT0300, the pair is trading at 1.2140, with the USD trading a tad lower against the CAD from Friday's close.

The pair is expected to find support at 1.2080, and a fall through could take it to the next support level of 1.2019. The pair is expected to find its first resistance at 1.2183, and a rise through could take it to the next resistance level of 1.2225.

Ahead in the day, investors will focus on Canada's housing starts data for August.

The currency pair is showing convergence with its 20 Hr and 50 Hr moving averages.

Daily Technical Analysis: EUR/USD Retesting 1.20 Support In Key Decision Zone

Currency pair EUR/USD

The EUR/USD challenged the previous top (red) but till now has been unable to break above that resistance. A bullish break could be part of a potential wave 3 (pink) whereas a failure to break above the 138.2% Fib of wave B vs A at 1.2165 could still indicate a wave B (red).

The EUR/USD invalidates wave 4 (green) with a potential break below the 61.8% Fib of wave 4 vs 3 and the support trend line (blue), which could indicate a larger ABC (red) correction. A break above the resistance trend line (red) could start a wave 5. Price is now at the 38.2% Fib at 1.20.

Currency pair GBP/USD

The GBP/USD is challenging a deep 88.6% resistance Fibonacci retracement level of wave 2 vs 1 (red). A break above the 100% Fib level invalidates that wave 2 (red). Price could either be in an ABC (purple) correction or in a wave 123.

The GBP/USD is testing an important resistance trend line (red).

Currency pair USD/JPY

The USD/JPY broke below the support zone (dotted greens) and could now be making a pullback towards the resistance (red).

The USD/JPY could be making a pullback towards the Fibonacci levels of wave 4 (green).

Gold Registered An Amazing Drop

The yellow metal dropped aggressively today and reached the $1333 per barrel again. Has opened with a gap down and now is trying to recover after the immense drop. The failure to close above the lower median line (lml) or on this line has signaled that a corrective phase is favored in the upcoming period.

Brent Oil False Breakout?

Price has plunged on Friday and has invalidated the breakout above the first warning line (wl1) of the major descending pitchfork. We’ll see what will happen because right now is retesting the 61.8% retracement level. I’ve said in the previous days that only a valid breakout above the warning line (wl1) will confirm a further increase towards the $57 per barrel.

EUR/USD Losing Momentum

Price changed little in the early morning, has opened with a gap down and seems too overbought to resume the upside movement. Is trading in the red right now and could hit new lows in the upcoming days if the USDX will really start another leg higher after the massive drop.

EUR/USD is trading above the 1.2010 level and stays in the green area, but the bulls seem exhausted. We’ll see what will happen in the upcoming days because we still need a confirmation that the rate will start another leg lower.

We have a poor economic calendar, so the rate will be driven by the technical factors today. Price shows some exhaustion signs, but as I’ve said, is premature to talk about a broader corrective phase.

Price is facing tough resistance on the Daily chart, you can see that has found strong resistance right above the 1.2041 static resistance and above the outside sliding line (sl) of the minor ascending pitchfork. EUR/USD failed to close above these levels and above the 50% Fibonacci line (ascending dotted line) and now should retest the upper median line (uml) of the minor ascending pitchfork.

I’ve said in the previous weeks that the rate will come back to retest the mention levels after the false breakdown below the median line (ml) of the minor descending pitchfork. Could drop again if stays within the descending pitchfork’s body, you can see that has retested the upper median line (uml), a breakdown below the upper median line (uml) of the minor ascending pitchfork will confirm a further drop.

EUR/CHF Near Crucial Levels

EUR/CHF is struggling to stay higher after the Friday’s immense drop. Is trading in the green and is approaching the WL4 again, I’ve said in the last weeks that the price will climb much higher and will resume the upside movement only if will stabilize above the mentioned dynamic resistance.

AUD/USD Seems Exhausted

AUD/USD is trading in the red and signals an overbought after the impressive rally. The Friday’s spike shows that the bulls could lose significant ground in the upcoming days. We had a false breakout above the 0.8065 and above the median line (ml) of the minor ascending pitchfork, so it could drop at least till will reach and retest the lower median line (lml) of the ascending pitchfork.

USD/JPY False Breakdown?

The USD/JPY plunged in the last two days, but now has opened with an immense gap up, signaling that the bulls are still in the game. Is trading in the green right now, but remains to see if the buyers will be strong enough to push it towards new highs, or this it was only a temporary rebound.

Price increased as the Nikkei stock index has jumped amazingly in the Asian session. The USDX has increased as well, but is premature to talk about a broader rebound. USDX is still under massive selling pressure, only an accumulation will bring more buyers in the market.

The Yen dropped on the mixed Japanese data, the M2Money Stock rose by 4.0% in August, less versus the 4.1% estimate, the indicator remained steady at 4.0%, while the Core machinery Orders surged by 8.0% in July, beating the 4.2% estimate.

Price is trading in the green and struggles to stay above the 108.12 horizontal support. Has opened with a huge gap up, which could invalidate a further drop. USD/JPY failed to reach and retest the 61.8% retracement level. A false breakdown below the 108.12 level will signal a rebound at least till the third warning line (WL3) of the descending pitchfork.

Technically is still expected to reach the 250% Fibonacci line (ascending dotted line), where he could find support as well. Only a breakdown below this dynamic support and below the 38.2% resistance level will confirm a major drop, this scenario is less likely to happen. A broader drop will be confirmed after a valid breakdown below the upper median line (uml) of the ascending pitchfork.