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EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8732; (P) 0.8748; (R1) 0.8777; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. While consolidation from 0.8865 might extend, we'd still expect strong support from 0.8639 to contain downside and bring rise resumption. Decisive break of 0.8851 resistance will pave the way to retest 0.9304 high. However, break of 0.8639 support will now indicate near term topping and bring deeper pull back 0.8529 resistance turned support and below.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.9304 are viewed as a medium term corrective pattern. The leg from 0.9304 should have completed after testing 0.8332 structural support. But it's too early to say that larger rise from 0.6935 is resuming. Rejection from 0.9304 will extend the consolidation with another falling leg. Meanwhile, firm break of 0.9304 will target 0.9799 (2008 high). In case of another decline, we'd expect strong support from 0.8116 cluster support (50% retracement of 0.6935 to 0.9304 at 0.8120) to contain downside and bring rebound.


GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.17; (P) 141.75; (R1) 142.19; More....
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral first. The break of near term falling channel suggests reversal but we're prefer to see break of 142.75 resistance to confirm. In that case, intraday bias will be turned to the upside for 148.09 resistance. On the downside, break of 138.65 will resume the decline from 148.09. But in that case, we'd look for bottoming signal around 135.58, which is close to 135.39 fibonacci level, to bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we're not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we're looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.


EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 123.61; (P) 124.03; (R1) 124.52; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains mildly on the upside for 125.80/126.09 resistance zone. Decisive break of 126.09 will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. In case of another fall as consolidation from 125.80 extends, we'd still expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rebound and then rise resumption.
In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.


EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0877; (P) 1.0890; (R1) 1.0916; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral first. We're favoring the case that pull back from 1.0986 has completed at 1.0837 already. Above 1.0907 will turn bias to the upside for retesting 1.0986/0999 resistance zone. Below 1.0836 will extend the correction. Still, we'd expect strong support from 1.0791/0872 support zone to bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, the price actions from 1.1198 are seen as a corrective move. Such correction could have completed after defending 38.2% retracement of 0.9771 to 1.1198 at 1.0653. Decisive break of 1.0999 resistance will target a test on 1.1198 high. For now, this will be the preferred case as long as 1.0791 support holds.


EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1154; (P) 1.1177 (R1) 1.1217; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. Focus stays on 1.1298 key resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implication and target 1.1615 resistance next. On the downside, break of 1.1109 support will indicate short term topping and rejection from 1.1298. In such case, intraday bias will be turned to the downside for 1.0838 support.
In the bigger picture, the case for medium term reversal continues to build up with EUR/USD staying far above 55 week EMA (now at 1.0932). Also, bullish convergence condition is seen in weekly MACD. Focus will now be on 1.1298 key resistance. Rejection from there will maintain medium term bearishness and would extend the whole down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high). However, firm break of 1.1298 will indicate reversal. In such case, further rally would be seen back to 1.2042 support turned resistance next.


GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2746; (P) 1.2775; (R1) 1.2801; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. With 1.2977 resistance intact, we're still favoring the bearish case. That is, consolidation pattern from 1.1946 has completed at 1.3047 already. Break of 1.2614 resistance turned support should confirm our bearish view and target a test on 1.1946 low next. However, break of 1.2977 will dampen our view and turn bias back to the upside for 1.3047 and above.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7190 is seen as part of the down trend from 2.1161. Price actions from 1.1946 medium term low are seen as a consolidation pattern, which could have completed after hitting 55 week EMA. Break of 1.1946 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.5016 to 1.1946 from 1.3047 at 1.1150 next. In case the consolidation from 1.1946 extends, outlook will stay remain bearish as long as 1.3444 resistance holds.


USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9724; (P) 0.9740; (R1) 0.9755; More.....
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as the consolidation from 0.9613 might extends. still, as long as 0.9807 resistance holds, near term outlook remains bearish as deeper fall is expected. Below 0.9613 will extend the whole decline from 1.0342 to 0.9548 support and below. We'd start to look for bottoming signal again as it approaches 0.9443 key support level. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 0.9807 will indicate near term reversal and turn outlook bullish for 1.0099 resistance next.
In the bigger picture, USD/CHF is still bounded in medium term range of 0.9443/1.0342 for the moment. Consolidative trading would likely continue and medium term outlook remains neutral. Break of 1.0342 key resistance is needed to confirm underlying bullish momentum in the pair. Meanwhile, downside attempts should be contained by 0.9443 key support level. However, sustained break of 0.9443 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.9 handle.


USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.52; (P) 110.97; (R1) 111.29; More...
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside as rise rebound from 108.81 is expected to continue to near term channel resistance (now at 113.06). Sustained break there will suggest that whole pull back from 118.65 has completed at 108.12 already. In such case, further rise should be seen to 114.36 resistance for confirmation. Nonetheless, break of 108.81 will still extend the fall from 118.65 through 108.12 low before completion.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 125.85 high are seen as a corrective pattern. It's uncertain whether it's completed yet. But in case of another fall, downside should be contained by 61.8% retracement of 75.56 to 125.85 at 94.77 to bring rebound. Overall, rise from 75.56 is still expected to resume later after the correction from 125.85 completes.


AUD/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7584; (P) 0.7607; (R1) 0.7638; More....
With 0.7523 support intact, further rally is seen in AUD/USD for 0.7748 resistance and above. At this point, there is no clear sign of range breakout at. Hence, we'd be cautious on topping again as it approaches medium term fibonacci level at 0.7849. Meanwhile, break of 0.7523 will argue that rebound from 0.7328 is possibly completed. In that case, intraday bias will be turned back to the downside for 0.7370 support.
In the bigger picture, we're still treating price actions from 0.6826 low as a corrective pattern. And, as long as 38.2% retracement of 0.9504 to 0.6826 at 0.7849 holds, long term down trend from 1.1079 is expected to resume sooner or later. Break of 0.6826 low will target 0.6008 key support level. However, firm break of 0.7849 will indicate that rise from 0.6826 is developing into a medium term rebound, rather than a sideway pattern. In such case, stronger rise should be seen to 55 month EMA (now at 0.8116) and above.


USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3190; (P) 1.3231; (R1) 1.3254; More....
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.3164 might extend. In case of another rise, upside should be limited by 1.3387 support turned resistance and bring fall resumption. We're holding on to the view that corrective rise from 1.2460 has completed at 1.3793 already. Below 1.3164 will target 1.2968 cluster support, 61.8% retracement of 1.2460 to 1.3793 at 1.2969.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4689 medium term top are seen as a correction pattern. The first leg has completed at 1.2460. Rise from 1.2460 is seen as the second leg and has completed at 1.3793, ahead of 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2460 at 1.3838. Break of 1.3222 should now indicate the start of the third leg while further break of 1.2968 should confirm. In that case, USD/CAD should decline through 1.2460 support to 50% retracement of 0.9406 to 1.4869 at 1.2048.


