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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.10; (P) 162.77; (R1) 163.20; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 163.47/86 resistance will resume the rebound from 154.40 to 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38. On the downside, break of 158.09 will bring deeper fall back to 154.40/155.14 support zone instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8316; (P) 0.8339; (R1) 0.8352; More...
EUR/GBP rebounds strongly today, but stays well inside 0.8309/8433 range. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment, and further decline is still in favor. On the downside, firm break of 0.8309 will resume larger down trend to 0.8201 key support next. However, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8624 to 0.8309 at 0.8429 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.8504 and possibly above.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 (2022 low), but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. However, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8624 resistance holds even in case of strong rebound.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6207; (P) 1.6237; (R1) 1.6275; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with current recovery. On the downside, below 1.6185 will bring deeper fall to retest 1.6002 low. On the upside, however, above 1.6351 will resume the rebound from 1.6002 to 38.2% of 1.7180 to 1.6002 at 1.6452.
In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5996 support holds, up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.5996 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and turn outlook bearish.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9375; (P) 0.9397; (R1) 0.9413; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as it's still bounded in converging range. On the upside, break of 0.9506 resistance should resume whole rebound from 0.9209 through 0.9579 resistance. On the downside, break of 0.9332 will resume the fall from 0.9579 towards 0.9209 low.
In the bigger picture, medium term corrective pattern from 0.9407 (2022 low) might have completed with three waves to 0.9928. Decisive break of 0.9252 (2023 low) will confirm long term down trend resumption. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 at 0.8851. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.
NZDUSD Opens the Way for More Losses
- NZDUSD hovers beneath 200-day SMA
- Stochastic and RSI maintain downside momentum
NZDUSD has found strong resistance near the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at 0.6090, diving towards the previous bottom of 0.6050.
According to technical oscillators, they both confirm the recent bearish structure. The stochastic is heading south, ready to post a bearish crossover within its %K and %D lines, while the RSI is pointing slightly down below the neutral threshold of 50.
Diving further, the price could tumble until the 0.5975 support before testing the lows from August at 0.5875-0.5850.
Otherwise, an attempt above the 200-day SMA could send the bulls toward the 50- and then the 20-day SMA at 0.6170 and 0.6200, respectively. Rising above the SMAs, the price could find a real struggle near the 15-month peak of 0.6370.
All in all, NZDUSD has started a bearish wave in the preceding couple of weeks with the momentum oscillators suggesting more declines.
Nasdaq Futures (NQ) Favoring Upside Due to 5 Swing Elliott Wave Sequence
Short Term Elliott Wave View in Nasdaq (NQ) suggests that the Index formed a 5 swing sequence since 8.5.2024 low. Since 5 swing Elliott Wave sequence is a motive sequence, it favors further upside. Up from 8.5.2024 low, wave 1 ended at 20025.25 and pullback in wave 2 ended at 18339.75. Wave 3 higher ended at 20538 and dips in wave 4 ended at 19818 as 1 hour chart below shows. Internal subdivision of wave 4 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 3, wave ((a)) ended at 20056 and wave ((b)) ended at 20331.75. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 19891.58 which completed wave 4 in higher degree.
The Index has turned higher in wave 5 with internal subdivision as a 5 waves impulse. Up from wave 4, wave (i) ended at 20267.25 and pullback in wave (ii) ended at 19902.50. Wave (iii) higher ended at 20482.75 and dips in wave (iv) ended at 20314.75. Final leg wave (v) ended at 20680 which completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Wave ((ii)) pullback is proposed complete at 20254 with internal subdivision as an expanded flat. Near term, as far as pivot at 19819.58 low stays intact, the Index has scope to extend higher within wave 5.
Nasdaq Futures (NQ) 60 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart
NQ_F Elliott Wave Video
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ETo0j_66EUo
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3750; (P) 1.3795; (R1) 1.3819; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral first with current retreat. Some consolidations would be seen below 1.3837 temporary top. But downside should be contained above 1.3646 resistance turned support. On the upside, above 1.3837 will resume the rally from 1.3418 to 1.3946/76 key resistance zone.
In the bigger picture, sideway consolidation pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) might still extend further. While another decline cannot be ruled out, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in favor to resume at a later stage.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6690; (P) 0.6711; (R1) 0.6726; More...
AUD/USD's fall from 0.6941 resumed by breaking through 0.6701 temporary low. Intraday bias is back on the downside for 0.6621 support. Decisive break there will pave the way back to 0.6348 support next. On the upside, above 0.6758 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral again first.
In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with rise from 0.6269 as the third leg. Firm break of 100% projection of 0.6269 to 0.6870 from 0.6340 at 0.6941 will target 138.2% projection at 0.7179. However, break of 0.6621 support will argue that rise from 0.6269 has completed and bring deeper fall back to 0.6269/6348 support zone.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 148.74; (P) 149.33; (R1) 149.80; More...
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen below 149.97 temporary top. Further rally is expected with 146.48 resistance turned support intact. Above 149.97 will resume the rise from 139.57 to 61.8% retracement of 161.94 to 139.57 at 153.39 next. However, firm break of 146.48 will argue that such rebound has completed, and turn bias back to the downside for retesting 139.57 low.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should now be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8606; (P) 0.8623; (R1) 0.8638; More…
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.8374 short term bottom should target 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8698. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 0.9223 has completed after defending 0.8332 low. Further rally should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.8899 next. On the downside, below 0.8557 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).


















