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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 193.27; (P) 193.83; (R1) 194.76; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside break of 195.95 will resume whole rise from 180.00 to 61.8% retracement of 208.09 to 180.00 at 197.35 next. On the downside, break of 189.54 will turn bias back to the downside for 183.70 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to whole rally from 123.94 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 and 208.09. However, decisive break of 175.94 will argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.04; (P) 162.62; (R1) 163.32; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 163.47 resistance will resume the rebound from 154.40 to 61.8% retracement of 175.41 to 154.40 at 167.38. On the downside, break of 158.09 will bring deeper fall back to 154.40/155.14 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8367; (P) 0.8386; (R1) 0.8398; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral and outlook stays bearish for now. On the downside, break of 0.8309 will resume larger down trend to 0.8201 key support next. However, decisive break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8624 to 0.8309 at 0.8429 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.8504 and possibly above.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 (2022 low), but strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. However, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8624 resistance holds even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6212; (P) 1.6283; (R1) 1.6345; More...

EUR/AUD's rebound from 1.6002 short term bottom is expected to continue to 38.2% of 1.7180 to 1.6002 at 1.6452. Decisive break there will strengthen the case that whole corrective fall from 1.7180 has completed with three waves down to 1.6002. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.6730 next. However, firm break of 55 4H EMA (now at 1.6198) will dampen this view and bring retest of 1.6002 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.5996 support holds, up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still expected to resume at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.5996 will argue that the medium term trend has reversed and turn outlook bearish.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9381; (P) 0.9399; (R1) 0.9433; More....

EUR/CHF continues to trade in converging range and intraday bias stays neutral. For now, the favored case is that rise from 0.9209 low is not finished yet. Break of 0.9506 will turn intraday bias to the upside for 0.9579 resistance and above. However, break of 0.9332 will dampen this view and bring deeper decline through 0.9305 support instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term corrective pattern from 0.9407 (2022 low) might have completed with three waves to 0.9928. Decisive break of 0.9252 (2023 low) will confirm long term down trend resumption. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 at 0.8851. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9928 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0962; (P) 1.0980; (R1) 1.0998; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for consolidations above 1.0950 temporary low. Fall from 1.1213 short term top is expected to continue as long as 1.1082 resistance holds. Below 1.0950 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.0447 to 1.1213 at 1.0920. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 1.1213 is the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.1274. In this case, deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.0740 next.

In the bigger picture, rejection by 1.1274 resistance suggests that corrective pattern from 1.1274 (2023 high) is not completed yet. Instead, decline from 1.1213 might be another falling leg. Sustained break of 55 W EMA (now at 1.0877) will validate this case, and bring deeper fall towards 1.0447 support again.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3074; (P) 1.3094; (R1) 1.3124; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral with loss of downside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. While corrective fall from 1.3433 might extend lower, strong support should be seen from 1.3000 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2298 to 1.3433 at 1.2999) to contained downside. Above 1.3174 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound. However, decisive break of 1.3000 will carry larger bearish implications.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3000 support holds, the up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) is still in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022. However, considering mild bearish divergence condition in D MACD, decisive break of 1.3000 will argue that a medium term top is already in place, and bring deeper fall back to 1.2664 support next.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8541; (P) 0.8562; (R1) 0.8595; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidations below 0.8606 temporary top. Further rise is in favor as long as 0.8499 minor support holds. Above 0.8606 will target 38.2% retracement of 0.9223 to 0.8374 at 0.8698. Sustained break there will argue that fall from 0.9223 has completed after defending 0.8332 low. Next target will be 61.8% retracement at 0.8899. On the downside, break of 0.8499 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.8374 low instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with fall from 0.9223 as the second leg. Strong support could be seen from 0.8332 to bring rebound. Yet, overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9243 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.8332, however, will resume larger down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high).

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.57; (P) 147.97; (R1) 148.61; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for consolidations below 149.11 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 141.63 support holds. Rise from 139.57 is seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 161.94. Break of 149.35 resistance will target 61.8% retracement of 161.94 to 139.57 at 153.39 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should now be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3614; (P) 1.3644; (R1) 1.3678; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains on the upside as rebound from 1.3418 short term bottom is in progress. Fall from 1.3946 has likely completed already. Further rise should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.3946 to 1.3418 at 1.3559 next. Decisive break there will target 1.3946 high. On the downside, below 1.3590 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) is extending with another falling leg. While deeper decline could be seen, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in favor to resume at a later stage.