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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0460; (P) 1.0496; (R1) 1.0540; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD Remains neutral for consolidation above 1.0447. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0616 resistance holds. Break of 1.0477 will resume the fall from 1.1274 to 1.0199 fibonacci level next. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.06161 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top could still be a correction to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). But chance of a complete trend reversal is rising. In either case, current fall should target 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 next. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0759) holds, in case of rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2056; (P) 1.2116; (R1) 1.2196; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for consolidation above 1.2036. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2270 resistance holds. Break of 1.2026 will resume the fall from 1.3141. Sustained trading below 1.2075 fibonacci level would carry larger bearish implication, and target 1.1801 support next. On the upside, firm break of 1.2270 resistance will indicate short term bottoming, and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top could still be a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low) only. But risk of complete trend reversal is rising. Sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075 will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.1417. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.2486) holds, in case of rebound.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9134; (P) 0.9183; (R1) 0.9223; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for consolidation below 0.9243. Near term outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.9089 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.9243 will resume the rally from 0.8551 and target 0.9439 resistance next. However, firm break of 0.9089 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, current development indicates that rise from 0.8551 is reversing whole down trend from 1.0146. Further rally would then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 0.9537 and above. For now, this will be the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 0.8942) holds, even in case of deep pullback.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6294; (P) 0.6318; (R1) 0.6350; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral with current recovery. Some consolidations could be seen first. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.6500 resistance holds. Below 0.6284 will resume the fall from 0.7156. Next target is 100% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6457 from 0.6894 at 0.6195.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) is possibly still in progress. Decisive break of 0.6169 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6021. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.6894, in case of strong rebound.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3697; (P) 1.3739; (R1) 1.3786; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CAD is turned neutral with current retreat, and some consolidations could be seen first. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3378 support holds. Above 1.3778 will resume the rally from 1.3091 and target 100% projection of 1.3091 to 1.3693 from 1.3378 at 1.3980.

In the bigger picture, current development revives the case that corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) has completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target will be 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8637; (P) 0.8659; (R1) 0.8679; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as sideway trading continues. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8700 resistance will carry larger bullish implication and bring stronger rally to 0.8874 resistance next. Nevertheless, rejection by this resistance will maintain bearish outlook that larger down trend is not over. Firm break of 0.8629 resistance turned support will turn bias back to the downside for 0.8568 support first.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Decisive break of 0.8700 resistance will argue that this decline has completed with three waves down to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 could then be another leg inside the pattern and targets 0.8977 and above. However, rejection by 0.8700 will keep the down trend alive for another fall through 0.8491 at a later stage.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6558; (P) 1.6600; (R1) 1.6649; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral for the moment. With 1.6650 resistance intact, fall from 1.7062 is still expected to continue. Below 1.6446 minor support will bring retest of 1.6319 first. Break there will resume the decline to 1.6000 fibonacci level. On the upside, firm break of 1.6650 resistance will argue that pull back from 1.7062 has completed, after drawing support from medium term rising trend line. Further rally would be seen back to retest 1.7062.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 is probably correcting whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000. Strong support could be seen there to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.6650 resistance holds.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9618; (P) 0.9636; (R1) 0.9654; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for the moment. Another rally is still mildly in favor as long as 0.9617 support holds. Above 0.9691 will resume the rebound from 0.9513 to 38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9513 at 0.9735. However, firm break of 0.9617 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9513 low.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bearish as long as the cross is capped well below falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9804). That is, down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) could still resume through 0.9407 (2022 low). However, sustained trading above the 55 W EMA will raise the chance that 0.9470 is already a long term bottom. Further rise would then be seen to 1.0095 resistance to indicate bullish trend reversal.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.06; (P) 156.41; (R1) 157.00; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neutral with current recovery and with 4H MACD crossed above signal line. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 158.46 resistance holds. Break of 154.32 will resume the whole fall from 159.75 to 151.39 support. Nevertheless, break of 158.464 will argue that the pull back has completed, and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 159.75 are views as a corrective pattern for now. As long as 151.39 support holds, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is still expected to continue through 159.75 at a later stage. Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper correction.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 179.94; (P) 180.60; (R1) 181.63; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with the strong recovery from 178.02, and with 4H MACD crossed above signal line. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 183.00 resistance holds. Break of 178.02 will resume the fall from 186.75 to 176.29 support. However, firm break of 183.00 will argue that the pull back has completed, and turn bias back to the upside.

In the bigger picture, fall from 186.75 is currently seen as a corrective move only. As long as 176.29 support holds, larger up trend from 123.94 (202 low) should still be in progress. Break of 186.75 will target 195.86 (2015 high). Nevertheless, firm break of 176.29 will confirm medium term topping, and bring lengthier and deeper consolidations.