Sample Category Title

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.55; (P) 160.65; (R1) 162.32; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Current development suggests that fall from 165.99 is a falling leg of the whole decline from 172.11. Deeper decline is expected as long as 164.12 resistance holds. Break of 158.54 will target a retest on 155.33 low. However, break of 164.12 resistance will bring stronger rise back to 165.99 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 38.2% retracement of 123.94 (2020 low) to 172.11 (2022 high) at 153.70 holds, medium term bullishness is retained. That is, larger up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress. Break of 172.11 high to resume such up trend is expected at a later stage.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.12; (P) 141.95; (R1) 143.49; More....

EUR/JPY's rebound from 138.81 extended higher and the break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 142.33) mixes up the near term outlook. Intraday bias stays neutral first. On the downside, break of 138.81 will resume the fall from 145.55 to retest 137.37 low. However, break of 145.55 will resume the rebound from 137.37 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 139.54) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8751; (P) 0.8795; (R1) 0.8860; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 0.8842 resistance will argue that corrective fall from 0.8977 has completed, after touching 0.8720 support. Further rise should be seen back to 0.8924 resistance and above. However, sustained break of 0.8720 will bring deeper decline back to 0.8545 instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook is rather mixed for now, except that price actions from 0.9267 (2022 high) are part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). With 0.8720 support intact, rise from 0.8545 is in favor to continue through 0.8977. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that such rebound has completed, and open up deeper fall through this support level.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5994; (P) 1.6095; (R1) 1.6246; More...

EUR/AUD failed to break through 1.6200 resistance and retreated. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Near term outlook stays stays bullish with 1.5826 resistance turned support intact. On the upside, break of 1.6200 will resume the larger rise from 1.4281 to 61.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.5976 from 1.5254 at 1.6302 next. However, firm break of 1.5826 will confirm short term topping, and bring deeper fall to 55 day EMA (now at 1.5725).

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 week EMA (now at 1.5404) is raising the chance of bullish trend reversal. Focus is now on 1.6434 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.9799 to 1.4281 at 1.6389). Sustained break there should confirm that whole down trend from 1.9799 (2020 high) has completed. Further rally should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 1.7691. However, rejection by this cluster resistance will make medium term outlook neutral at best.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9914; (P) 0.9946; (R1) 0.9966; More...

A temporary top was formed at 0.9976 in EUR/CHF with current retreat. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective decline from 1.0095 should have completed at 0.9704. Further rally is in favor as long as 0.9856 minor support holds. Above 0.9976 will target 1.0004 and then 1.0095. However, firm break of 0.9856 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9704 support instead.

In the bigger picture, prior rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0011) and 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072 suggests that medium term outlook is staying bearish. That is, down trend from 1.2004 is not completed yet and is in favor to resume through 0.9407 at a later stage. However, decisive break of 1.0095 resistance will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484).

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3659; (P) 1.3698; (R1) 1.3752; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. Further rally is expected with 1.3650 support intact. On the upside, break of 1.3860 will resume the rally from 1.3261 to retest 1.3976 high. However, firm break of 1.3650 will mix up the near term outlook and bring deeper pullback to 55 day EMA (now at 1.3572) first.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still in progress. Break of 1.3976 will confirm resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3261 at 1.4234. Firm break there will pave the way to long term resistance zone at 1.4667/89 (2016, 2020 highs). On the downside, break of 1.3261 support is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will remain bullish even in case of deep pull back.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6638; (P) 0.6682; (R1) 0.6715; More...

Range trading continues in AUD/USD and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, another rise through 0.6729 should confirm short term bottoming at 0.6563, just ahead of 0.6546 fibonacci level. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 55 day EMA (now at 0.6774). Sustained break there will pave the way back to retest 0.7156 high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.6546 will carry larger bearish implication and target 0.6169 low.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.6169 (2022 low) has completed at 0.7156, after rejection by 55 month EMA (now at 0.7158). Deeper decline would then be see back to 61.8% retracement of 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6546, even as a corrective fall. Sustained break there will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption through 0.6169 low.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.45; (P) 132.04; (R1) 133.04; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further decline is expected as long as 135.10 resistance holds. The current favored case is that rebound from 127.20 has completed at 137.90 already. Sustained trading below 61.8% retracement of 127.20 to 137.90 at 131.28 will pave the way to retest 127.20 low next. However, break of 135.10 will turn bias back to the upside for 137.90 instead.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 127.20 should have completed at 137.90 as a corrective move, with strong break of 55 day EMA. The down trend from 151.93 (2022 high) is not over yet. Break of 127.20 will resume this down trend and target 61.8% projection of 151.93 to 127.20 from 137.90 at 122.61. This will now be the favored case as long as 137.90 resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9184; (P) 0.9250; (R1) 0.9291; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 0.9058 low should still be in progress with rise from 0.9070 as the third leg. Above 0.9339 will target 0.9439 resistance and possibly above. But overall, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9474 fibonacci level holds, and another decline through 0.9058 is expected at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) should still be in progress with 38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.9058 at 0.9474 intact. Rejection by 55 week EMA was a medium term bearish sign. Break of 0.9058 will resume such decline towards 0.8756 support (2021 low). But overall, such fall is still as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). So, downside should be contained by 0.8756 to bring reversal.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0720; (P) 1.0754; (R1) 1.0804; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the upside and outlook is unchanged. Corrective fall from 1.1032 should have completed at 1.0515 already. That came after defending both 1.0482 support and 38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0258. Further rise should be seen for retesting 1.1032 high next. On the downside, below 1.0703 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0482 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) should continue to 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273. However, sustained break of 1.0482 will bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1032 at 1.0106, with risk of breaking through 0.9534 eventually.