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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.91; (P) 158.38; (R1) 159.13; More...

Range trading in GBP/JPY continues and intraday bias stays neutral. On the downside, break of 155.33 low will resume the fall form 172.11 to 153.70 fibonacci level next. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 day EMA (now at 161.21) will turn bias to the upside, for stronger rise back to 169.26/172.11 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, as long as 163.02 support turned resistance holds, decline from 172.11 medium term top is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 172.11 at 153.70. Sustained break there will raise the change of trend reversal and target 61.8% retracement at 142.34. Nevertheless, break of 163.02 support turned resistance will argue that the decline has completed, and retain medium term bullishness.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 140.41; (P) 140.72; (R1) 141.15; More....

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 142.84 will argue that the correction from 148.38 has completed at 137.37 already. Further rise would be seen to 146.71 resistance next. On the downside, firm break of 155.33 will resume the whole decline from 148.38 to 135.40 fibonacci level.

In the bigger picture, as long as 55 week EMA (now at 138.82) holds, larger up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is still in progress for 149.76 long term resistance. However, firm break of 55 week EMA will bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 148.38 at 135.40. Sustained break there will raise the chance of trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 127.39.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8863; (P) 0.8888; (R1) 0.8902; More...

Outlook in EUR/GBP remains unchanged and intraday bias stays neutral. Further rise is expected as long as 0.8720 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8977 will resume whole rise from 0.8545 to 100% projection of 61.8% projection of 0.8545 to 0.8896 from 0.8720 at 0.9071.

In the bigger picture, the notable support from 55 day EMA (now at 0.8780) retains near term bullishness. Break of 0.8896 should target 0.9267 (2022 high) and possibly above, to resume whole up trend from 0.8201 (2022 low). However, break of 0.8270 support and sustained trading below 55 day EMA will set the stage for 0.8545 and below.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5404; (P) 1.5446; (R1) 1.5516; More...

Deeper fall could be seen in EUR/AUD to retest 1.5254/71 support zone. Firm break there will carry larger bearish implication and resume the fall from 1.5976. On the upside, above 1.5650 will resume the rebound to 1.5749 resistance.

In the bigger picture, it's still early to confirm if rise from 1.4281 represents bullish trend reversal. But as long as 1.5271 support holds, such rally is in favor to continue. Break of 1.5976 will target 1.6434 key resistance next. On the other hand, firm break of 1.5271 will retain medium term bearishness instead.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9855; (P) 0.9876; (R1) 0.9887; More....

EUR/CHF's corrective pattern from 1.0095 is extending and deeper decline could be seen. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.9407 to 1.0095 at 0.9832 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 0.9942 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for retesting 1.0067.95 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, the initial rejection by 55 week EMA (now at 1.0039) mixed up the outlook. On the upside, sustained trading above 55 week EMA will raise the chance of bullish trend reversal. Rise from 0.9407 should then target 1.0505 cluster resistance (2020 low at 1.0505, 61.8% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.1484). However, firm break of 0.9832 support will revive medium term bearishness and bring retest of 0.9407 low instead.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3388; (P) 1.3419; (R1) 1.3479; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral and outlook is unchanged. While the choppy fall from 1.3704 might still extend lower, strong support is expected to 1.3224 key support to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3519 minor resistance will confirm short term bottoming, and turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3704 resistance. However, decisive break of 1.3224 would carry larger bearish implication.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.3222 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.3223) holds, larger up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low) is still expected to resume through 1.3976 high at a later stage. However, firm break of 1.3222/3 will indicate that the trend might have reversed. Deeper fall would be seen to next cluster support at 1.2726 (61.8% retracement at 1.2758).

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6897; (P) 0.6946; (R1) 0.6974; More...

AUD/USD is staying in consolidation above 0.6854 and intraday bias stays neutral. Correction from 0.7156 could still extend lower. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6779 to bring rebound. On the upside, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 0.6989) will bring retest of 0.7156 high.

In the bigger picture, corrective decline from 0.8006 (2021 high) should have completed with three waves down to 0.6169 (2022 low). Further rally should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.6169 at 0.7304. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest 0.8006. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.6721 support holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.85; (P) 131.19; (R1) 131.79; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Further rally is still mildly in favor. On the upside, above 132.89 will resume the rebound from 127.20 short term bottom to 38.2% retracement of 151.93 to 127.20 at 136.64. Nevertheless, sustained break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 130.65) will bring retest of 127.20 low.

In the bigger picture, prior of 55 week EMA (now at 131.39) raises the chance of medium term bearish reversal, but that's not confirmed yet. Strong rebound from current level, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 151.93 to 127.20 at 136.64 will argue that price actions from 151.93 is merely a corrective pattern. However, rejection by 136.64 will solidify medium term bearishness for 61.8% retracement of 102.58 to 151.93 at 121.43 and 38.2% retracement of 75.56 to 151.93 at 122.75.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9182; (P) 0.9206; (R1) 0.9234; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. On the upside, firm break of 0.9287 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 0.9058, and bring stronger rise to 0.9407 resistance. On the downside, however, sustained break of 0.9058 will resume larger decline from 1.0146 instead.

In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8756 (2021 low) has completed at 1.0146, well ahead of 1.0342 long term resistance (2016 high). Based on current downside momentum, fall from 1.0146 should be a medium term down trend itself. Next target is a test on 0.8756 low. Strong support should be seen there to bring rebound. Still, further decline will now be expected as long as 0.9407 resistance holds, in any case.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2035; (P) 1.2072; (R1) 1.2109; More...

GBP/USD is staying in consolidation from 1.1960 and intraday bias stays neutral. Fall from 1.2446, as the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.2445, could still extend lower. Below 1.1960 will target 1.1840 support and possibly below. But downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2445 at 1.1645 to bring rebound. On the upside, firm break of 4 hour 55 EMA (now at 1.2168) will bring retest of 1.2445/6.

In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom is at least correcting whole down trend from 1.4248 (2021 high). Further rise is expected as long as 1.1644 resistance turned support holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.4248 to 1.0351 at 1.2759. Sustained break there will pave the way back to 1.4248.