Sample Category Title
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.74; (P) 139.24; (R1) 140.19; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the upside. Rise from 133.38 should target 100% projection of 133.38 to 138.38 from 135.50 at 140.50. Decisive break there will indicate upside acceleration, and raise the chance of up trend resumption through 144.26 high. On the downside, below 138.24 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Further rally is in favor as long as 134.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back. Next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 134.11 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and turn focus to 124.37 support for confirmation.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8596; (P) 0.8625; (R1) 0.8679; More...
EUR/GBP's rally from 0.8338 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside for 0.8720 resistance. Decisive break there will carry larger bullish implications. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8201 to 0.8720 from 0.8338 at 0.8857. On the downside, below 0.8570 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first.
In the bigger picture, focus is back on 38.2% retracement of 0.9499 to 0.8201 at 0.8697. Sustained break there will argue that rise from 0.8201 is a medium term up trend, rather than a correction. Next target is 61.8% retracement at 0.9003. Rejection by 0.8697 again will maintain medium term bearishness, for extending the down trend from 0.9499 (2020 high) at a later stage.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4574; (P) 1.4636; (R1) 1.4752; More...
Focus is now on 1.4712 resistance in EUR/AUD. Sustained break there will turn bias to the upside, for stronger rebound back to 1.5396 resistance. On the downside, firm break of 1.4318 low will resume larger down trend to medium term projection level at 1.3623.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.9799 is still in progress. Break of 1.4318 low will target 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.5396 resistance holds.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9769; (P) 0.9801; (R1) 0.9864; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays on the upside as rebound from 0.9550 is in progress for EMA (now at 0.9840) and above. But upside should be limited by 38.2% retracement of 1.0512 to 0.9550 at 0.9917 to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 0.9696 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9950 low.
In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. On the upside, break of 0.9970 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of strong rebound.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3085; (P) 1.3113; (R1) 1.3162; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside for 1.3222 resistance first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.2005. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2005 to 1.2947 from 1.2401 at 1.3343. On the downside, below 1.3062 minor support will delay the bullish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.4667 (2020 high) should have completed at 1.2005, after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Rise from there should target 61.8% retracement of 1.4667 to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3650. This will remain the favored case now as long as 1.2516 support holds.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6817; (P) 0.6861; (R1) 0.6885; More...
AUD/USD's fall from 0.7135 is in progress and intraday bias stays on the downside. As noted before, corrective rebound from 0.6680 could have completed with three waves up to 0.7135. Retest of 0.6680 should be seen next. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. However, break of 0.7008 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.7135 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8006 (2021 high) is seen more as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.5506 (2020 low). Or it could also be a bearish impulsive move. In either case, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.7282 resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 0.5506 to 0.8006 at 0.6461.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9990; (P) 1.0035; (R1) 1.0097; More...
EUR/USD is still bounded in consolidation from 0.9899 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further decline is expected with 1.0094 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.9899 will resume larger down trend to 61.8% projection of 1.0773 to 0.9951 from 1.0368 at 0.9860. Firm break there should prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.9546. However, firm break of 1.0094 minor resistance will dampen this bearish view, and turn bias back to the upside for 1.0368 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0368 resistance holds, in case of strong rebound.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.1584; (P) 1.1639; (R1) 1.1679; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains on the downside at this point. Current down trend should target 1.1409 long term support. On the upside, above 1.1759 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral for consolidations. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2292 resistance holds, in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) could be a leg inside the pattern from 1.1409 (2020 low), or resuming the longer term down trend. Deeper decline is expected as long as 1.2292 resistance holds. Next target is 1.1409 low. However, firm break of 1.2292 will bring stronger rise back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.2859).
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9734; (P) 0.9771; (R1) 0.9814; More...
USD/CHF's rally from 0.9369 is still in progress and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rally should target 0.9884 resistance first. Break there will argue that larger up trend is ready for resumption through 1.0063. On the downside, break of 0.9576 support is needed to indicate completion of the rebound. Otherwise, further rise will remain in favor in case of retreat.
In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.
Swiss CPI rose to 3.5% yoy in Aug, core CPI at 2.0% yoy
Swiss CPI rose 0.3% mom in August, slightly below expectation of 0.4% mom. The monthly rise was due to several factors including rising prices for in-patient hospital services, social protection services and housing rentals. CPI core rose 0.3% mom. Domestic product prices rose 0.2% mom. Imported products prices rose 0.6% mom.
Comparing with August 2021, CPI rose 3.5% yoy, accelerated from 3.4% yoy, matched expectations. Core inflation came in at 2.0% yoy. Domestic product prices were up 1.8% yoy. Imported product prices were up 8.6% yoy.



















