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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0992; (P) 1.1064 (R1) 1.1159; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral first, with focus on 1.1120 support turned resistance. Sustained break there will argue that it's at least correcting the decline from 1.2265. Intraday bias will be back to the upside for 38.2% retracement of 1.2265 to 1.0805 at 1.1363. On the downside, however, break of 1.0943 support will retain near term bearishness, and bring retest of 1.0805 low.

In the bigger picture, the decline from 1.2348 (2021 high) is expected to continue as long as 1.1494 resistance holds. Firm break of 1.0635 (2020 low) will raise the chance of long term down trend resumption and target a retest on 1.0339 (2017 low) next. Nevertheless, break of 1.1494 will maintain medium term neutral outlook, and extending term range trading first.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3043; (P) 1.3101; (R1) 1.3152; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral first, and outlook stays bearish with 1.3297 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 1.2999 low will resume larger down trend from 1.4248. However, firm break of 1.3297 will bring strong rebound through 55 day EMA (now at 1.3315) and above.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that the up trend from 1.1409 (2020 low) has completed at 1.4248. Decline from 1.4248 could still be a corrective move, or it could be the start of a long term down trend. In either case, deeper decline would be seen back to 61.8% retracement of 2.1161 to 1.1409 at 1.2493. In any case, break of 1.3748 resistance is needed to indicate medium term bottoming, or outlook will stay bearish.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9280; (P) 0.9327; (R1) 0.9356; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 0.9259, and sustained trading below 55 day EMA (now at 0.9261), will extend the fall from 0.9459 to 0.9149 support. On the upside, above 0.9380 minor resistance will bring retest of 0.9459 instead.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 0.9471 resistance holds. Larger down trend could still extend through 0.8756 (2021 low). However, firm break of 0.9471 will argue that whole down trend form 1.0342 (2016 high), has completed with waves down to 0.8756. A medium term up trend should be set up to target 1.0237/0342 resistance zone.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.82; (P) 123.078; (R1) 124.14; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral as consolidation from 125.09 is extending. Downside should be be contained by 121.17 minor support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 125.09 will target 161.8% projection of 109.11 to 116.34 from 114.40 at 126.09, which is close to 125.85 long term resistance. However, break of 121.17 will indicate short term topping, and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 98.97 (2016 low) in in progress for retesting 125.85 (2015 high). Sustained break there will confirm long term up trend resumption. Next target will be 61.8% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 130.04. This will now remain the favored case as long as 116.34 resistance turned support holds.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7470; (P) 0.7495; (R1) 0.7532; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral for consolidations. But further rally is expected as long as 0.7372 minor support holds. On the upside, decisive break of 0.7555 should confirm that whole corrective decline from 0.8006 has completed at 0.6966. Further rise should then be seen back to retest 0.8005. However, break of 0.7372 will dampen this bullish view and turn bias back to the downside for 0.7164 support instead.

In the bigger picture, correction from 0.8006 could have completed at 0.6966, after drawing support from 0.6991. That is, up trend from 0.5506 (2020 low) might be ready to resume. Firm break of 0.8006 will target 61.8% projection of 0.5506 to 0.8006 from 0.6966 at 0.8511 next. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.7164 support holds.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2471; (P) 1.2501; (R1) 1.2531; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral first, but further decline is still expected as long as 1.2645 resistance holds. Corrective pattern from 1.2005 could have completed already. Firm break of 1.2448 support should confirm this bearish case and bring retest of 1.2005. On the upside, nevertheless, break of 1.2645 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.2899 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 38.2% retracement of 1.4667 (2020 high) to 1.2005 (2021 low) at 1.3022. Sustained break there should confirm that the down trend from 1.4667 has completed after defending 1.2061 long term cluster support. Further rise would then be seen towards 61.8% retracement at 1.3650. However, rejection by 1.3022 will maintain medium term bearishness. Break of 1.2005 will resume the down trend from 1.4667 and that carries larger bearish implications too.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0253; (P) 1.0319; (R1) 1.0386; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral first. on the upside, break of 1.0400 will resume the rebound from 0.9977 to 1.0610 key structural resistance next. On the downside, however, break of 1.0184 will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9970 low.

In the bigger picture, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2018 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9650. In any case, sustained break of 1.0505 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 159.87; (P) 161.29; (R1) 162.33; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 164.61. But overall outlook will stay bullish as long as 158.04 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, sustained break of 164.61 will resume larger up trend to long term fibonacci level at 167.93. However, firm break of 158.19 will turn bias to the downside and bring deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is still in progress, and notable support from 55 week EMA affirms medium term bullishness. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 195.86 (2015 high) to 122.75 (2016 low) at 167.93. Sustained break there will be a long term bullish signal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 150.95 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 135.28; (P) 136.29; (R1) 137.27; More....

A temporary top is in place at 137.50, after breaching 137.49 long term resistance. Intraday bias is turned neutral first. Further rally is expected as long as 133.70 minor support holds. Sustained break of 137.49 will resume larger up trend for 144.06 projection level next. However, firm break of 133.70 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Sustained break of 137.49 (2018 high) will resume larger pattern from 109.30 (2016 low). Next target will be 100% projection of 114.42 to 134.11 from 124.37 at 144.06. In any case, outlook will now remain bullish as long as 124.37 support holds, in case of deep pull back.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4636; (P) 1.4767; (R1) 1.4897; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is mildly on the upside for further recovery. But after all, it's seen as in the third leg of the corrective pattern from 1.4561. As long as 1.5327 resistance holds, larger down trend is still expected to continue. Break of 1.4533 will confirm down trend resumption for 1.3624 long term support.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.9799 is seen as a long term impulsive move. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.9799 to 1.5250 from 1.6434 at 1.3623, which is close to 1.3624 long term support (2017 low). Some support could be seen there to bring interim rebound. But overall, break of 1.5354 support turned resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.