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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 163.77; (P) 164.26; (R1) 165.20; More...
EUR/JPY's rally from 156.16 continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. As noted before, corrective from 154.04 is extending with another rising leg. Further rise should be seen to 166.67 resistance next. On the downside, below 163.01 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8293; (P) 0.8309; (R1) 0.8337; More...
No change in EUR/GBP's outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. On the upside, break of 0.8326 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 0.8221, ahead of 0.8201 key support, on bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD. Intraday bias will be turned back to the upside for 0.8446 structural resistance next.
In the bigger picture, focus is now on whether 0.8201 key support (2022 low) is strong enough to complete the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). In any case, medium term outlook will be neutral at best until decisive break of 0.8624 key resistance. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6673; (P) 1.6714; (R1) 1.6796; More...
EUR/AUD's rally from 1.5963 resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally should be seen to retest 1.7180 high next. On the downside, below 1.6630 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.
In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is holding on to 1.5996 key support despite brief breach. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5995 will indicate that such up trend has completed and deeper decline would be seen.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9352; (P) 0.9367; (R1) 0.9382; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Corrective rebound from 0.9204 could have completed at 0.9417. Another fall is in favor and below 0.9284 will target 0.9254 support first. Break there will bring retest of 0.9204 low.
In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom is probably in place at 0.9204. More consolidations would be seen above there with risk of stronger rebound to 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481. But outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.9481 holds and another fall through 0.9204 to resume larger down trend is in favor.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4364; (P) 1.4393; (R1) 1.4435; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral with consolidation from 1.4466 temporary top extending. While deeper pull back cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.4177 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 1.4466 and sustained trading above 1.4391 will pave the way to retest 1.4667/89 long term resistance zone.
In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021) is in progress and met 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4391 already. Sustained trading above there will pave the way to 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs). Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.3729) holds, even in case of deep pullback.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6206; (P) 0.6231; (R1) 0.6245; More...
AUD/USD is staying in consolidations above 0.6198 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Consolidations should be relatively brief as long as 0.6336 support turned resistance holds. Break of 0.6198 will resume the fall from 0.6941 to 0.6169 long term support, and then 138.2% projection of 0.6941 to 0.6511 from 0.6687 at 0.6074. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.6336 will bring stronger rebound lengthier correction before staging another decline.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term consolidation to the down trend from 0.8006. Firm break of 0.6169 support will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806 next. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6588) holds.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0399; (P) 1.0414; (R1) 1.0439; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral for the moment. While stronger recovery cannot be ruled out, outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.0629 resistance holds. Firm break of 1.0330 will confirm decline resumption and target 61.8% projection of 1.0936 to 10330 from 1.0629 at 1.0254, and then 100% projection at 1.0023.
In the bigger picture, focus stays on 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404. Strong rebound from this level will keep price actions from 1.1273 (2023 high) as a medium term consolidation pattern only. However, sustained break of 1.0404 will raise the chance that whole up trend from 0.9534 has reversed. That would pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.0199 first. Firm break there will target 0.9534 low again.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2498; (P) 1.2530; (R1) 1.2559; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral as consolidations continue above 1.2474 temporary low. While another recovery cannot be ruled out, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.2810 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.2474 will resume the fall from 1.3433 to 1.2298 cluster support zone.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3433 medium term are seen as correcting whole up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.2256, which is close to 1.2298 structural support. But strong support is expected there to bring rebound to extend the corrective pattern.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8979; (P) 0.8994; (R1) 0.9004; More…
Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as sideway consolidations continue below 0.9020. While another pull back might be seen, downside should be contained above 0.8735 support to bring another rally. Above 0.9020 will resume the rise from 0.8374 and target 61.8% projection of 0.8374 to 0.8956 from 0.8735 at 0.9095.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with rise from 0.8374 as the third leg. Overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9223 resistance holds. Break of 0.8332 low is in favor at a later stage when the consolidation completes.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.32; (P) 157.70; (R1) 158.42; More...
USD/JPY's rally is trying to resume by breaching 157.91 temporary top and intraday bias is back on the upside. Rise from 139.57 is extending to 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. Firm break there will pave the way back to 161.94 high. On the downside, though, below 156.88 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.




















