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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 194.57; (P) 195.23; (R1) 195.81; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Rise from 188.07 is seen as another rising leg in the corrective pattern from 180.00. Further rally would be seen to 199.79 resistance. On the downside, break of 192.84 support will turn intraday bias back to the downside for 188.07 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 208.09 are seen as a correction to whole rally from 123.94 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 208.09 at 175.94 and 208.09. However, decisive break of 175.94 will argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 160.39; (P) 161.43; (R1) 162.09; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral for consolidations below 162.46 temporary top. Another rise is in favor as long as 159.09 support holds. Sideway pattern from 154.40 might still be in progress with another rising leg. Break of 162.46 will target 166.67 resistance. Nevertheless, break of 159.09 will bring retest of 156.16 instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8237; (P) 0.8266; (R1) 0.8283; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside for retesting 0.8224 support. Firm break there will resume larger down trend to 0.8201 key support. On the upside, break of 0.8326 resistance will resume the rebound to 38.2% retracement of 0.8624 to 0.8224 at 0.8377.

In the bigger picture, focus is now on whether 0.8201 key support (2022 low) is strong enough to complete the whole down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). In any case, medium term outlook will be neutral at best until decisive break of 0.8624 key resistance. Otherwise, risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6504; (P) 1.6542; (R1) 1.6597; More...

EUR/AUD's rally resumed and the break of 1.6598 resistance confirms that fall from 1.7180 has completed with three waves down to 1.5963. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Further rally should be seen to retest 1.7180 high. On the downside, below 1.6485 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations, before staging another rise.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is holding on to 1.5996 key support despite brief breach. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5995 will indicate that such up trend has completed. Deeper decline would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7180 at 1.5388, even as a correction.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9342; (P) 0.9380; (R1) 0.9404; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen below 0.9417 temporary top. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9343 resistance turned support holds. Above 0.9417 should resume the rise from 0.9204 through 0.9444 resistance to 0.9841 fibonacci level. On the downside, sustained break of 0.9343 will argue that rebound form 0.9204 has completed and turn bias back to the downside for 0.9254 support instead.

In the bigger picture, the break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.9359) suggests that a medium term bottom might be in place already. Strong rise could be seen 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481. Reaction from there would reveal whether rebound from 0.9204 is merely a corrective rise, or reversing the down trend from 0.9928.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0469; (P) 1.0501; (R1) 1.0524; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral as range trading continues. Corrective pattern from 1.0330 might extend further. But outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.0668) holds. On the downside, below 1.0452 will bring retest of 1.0330 low.

In the bigger picture, focus stays on 50% retracement of 0.9534 (2022 low) to 1.1274 at 1.0404. Strong rebound from this level will keep price actions from 1.1273 (2023 high) as a medium term consolidation pattern only. However, sustained break of 1.0404 will raise the chance that whole up trend from 0.9534 has reversed. That would pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 1.0199 first. Firm break there will target 0.9534 low again.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2676; (P) 1.2703; (R1) 1.2739; More...

No change in GBP/USD's outlook and intraday bias remains neutral. On the downside, break of 1.2615 minor support will indicate that corrective recovery from 1.2486 has completed. Retest of this low should be seen next, and break will target 1.2298 cluster support zone. Nevertheless, break of 1.2810 will turn bias to upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3433 medium term are seen as correcting whole up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline could be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.2256, which is close to 1.2298 structural support. But strong support is expected there to bring rebound to extend the corrective pattern.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8903; (P) 0.8939; (R1) 0.8963; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF is turned neutral with current retreat and some consolidations would be seen below 0.8974 temporary top. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 0.8735 support holds. Break of 0.8974 will resume larger rise from 0.8374 to 61.8% projection of 0.8374 to 0.8956 from 0.8735 at 0.9095.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with rise from 0.8374 as the third leg. Overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9223 resistance holds. Break of 0.8332 low is in favor at a later stage when the consolidation completes.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.99; (P) 153.66; (R1) 154.17; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays neutral and more consolidations could be seen. Further rally is expected as long as 151.79 minor support holds. Above 154.47 temporary top will target a retest on 156.74 high first. Firm break there will resume whole rally from 139.57, and target 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 next. However, break of 151.79 will turn bias back to the downside for 148.64 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4217; (P) 1.4244; (R1) 1.4272; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside for the moment. Current up trend is in progress for 1.4391 projection level. On the downside, break of 1.4242 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first, and bring deeper pull back to channel support (now at 1.4125). But outlook will stay bullish as long as this channel support holds, and any consolidations would be brief.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021) is in progress. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3418 at 1.4391. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 1.3706) holds, even in case of deep pullback.