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Bitcoin ready for new record high, Ethereum following
Bitcoin jumps sharply higher today as rebound from 53426 extended. The break of 55 D EMA (now at 62400) is taken as a sign that corrective pattern from 73812 has completed with three waves down to 53426. That came after hitting 38.2% retracement of 24896 to 73812 at 55126.
Sustained trading above 55 D EMA will strengthen this bullish case. Bitcoin should then target 73812 record high, and then 61.8% projection of 24896 to 73812 from 53426 at 83656.
Similarly, Ethereum's corrective pattern from 4092.55 could have finished with three waves to 2797.60, after hitting 50% retracement of 1519.15 to 4092.55 at 2805.85. Sustained trading above 55 D EMA (now at 3333.45) would solidify this bullish case. Ethereum should then target 4092.55 high and then 61.8% projection of 1519.15 to 4092.55 from 2797.60 at 4387.96.
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 203.83; (P) 205.09; (R1) 206.33; More...
GBP/JPY's correction from 208.09 short term top could extend lower. Below 203.82 will target 38.2% retracement of 191.34 to 208.09 at 201.69. Strong support is expected there to bring rebound, to set the range of consolidations below 208.09. However, sustained break of 201.69 will argue that larger correction is already underway.
In the bigger picture, long term up trend is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 211.62. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 200.72 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 171.26; (P) 172.35; (R1) 173.23; More...
EUR/JPY's pull back from 175.41 short term top could extend lower. But downside should be contained by 170.87 and bring rebound, to set the range for consolidations. However, firm break of 170.87 will argue that larger correction is already underway and target 167.52 and possibly below.
In the bigger picture, as long as 170.87 resistance turned support holds, the long term up trend is still expected to continue. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. However, firm break of 170.87 will bring deeper fall to 167.52 support. Decisive break there will confirm that larger correction in in progress for 153.15/164.29 support zone.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8385; (P) 0.8404; (R1) 0.8415; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the downside at this point. Larger down trend is resuming and should target 61.8% projection of 0.8619 to 0.8396 from 0.8498 at 0.8360. Firm break there could prompt downside acceleration to 100% projection at 0.8275. On the upside, above 0.8421 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 key support (2022 low). For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds, even in case of stronger rebound.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6054; (P) 1.6072; (R1) 1.6096; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral as consolidation from 1.5996 continues. While another recovery cannot be ruled out, further decline is expected as long as 1.6211 resistance holds. Break of 1.5996 will resume larger fall to 1.5846 support next.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support is still expected between 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.6148 resistance will argue that the correction has completed.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9719; (P) 0.9739; (R1) 0.9777; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside at this point. Rise from 0.9476 is in progress and should target 0.9928 high next. On the downside, however, break of 0.9677 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.
In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 medium term bottom might not be completed yet. But even in case of resumption, strong resistance could emerge from 1.0095 to limit upside. Medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0094 structural resistance holds. Meanwhile, break of 0.9476 will bring retest of 0.9252 low.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3616; (P) 1.3630; (R1) 1.3649; More...
Break of 1.3652 resistance suggests that a short term bottom was formed at 1.3588, after hitting 1.3589 support. Intraday bias is back on the upside for 13790 resistance. On the downside, firm break of 1.3589 will extend the corrective pattern from 1.3845 to 100% projection of 1.3845 to 1.3589 from 1.3790 at 1.3534.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6761; (P) 0.6777; (R1) 0.6801; More...
Intraday bias in AUD/USD is turned neutral for some consolidations. On the upside, above 0.6898 will target 61.8% projection of 0.6361 to 0.6713 from 0.6619 at 0.6837. Decisive break there could prompt upside acceleration through 0.6870 resistance to 100% projection at 0.6971. On the downside, however, break of 0.6723 support will turn intraday bias to the downside for deeper pullback.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) is seen as the second leg, which could have completed at 0.6269 already. Rise from there is seen as the third leg. Break of 0.6870 will target 100% projection of 0.6269 to 0.6870 from 0.6361 at 0.6962.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.03; (P) 158.24; (R1) 159.12; More...
Fall from 161.94 is seen as correcting the whole five-wave rally from 140.25. Deeper decline is in favor and sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 157.67) will affirm this bearish case. Next target will be 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 163.65. Nevertheless, break of 159.44 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.
In the bigger picture, as long as 151.89 resistance turned support holds, long term up trend could still continue through 161.94 at a later stage. Next target will depend on the depth of the current correction from 161.94. However, sustained break of 151.89 will argue that larger scale correction or trend reversal is underway.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8927; (P) 0.8949; (R1) 0.8966; More…
Further decline is in favor in USD/CHF with 0.9000 resistance intact. Below 0.8914 will target 0.8825 low. Break of 0.8825 will target 50% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8778 next. However, break of 0.9000 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9049 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, with 0.9243 resistance intact, medium term outlook in USD/CHF is neutral at best. For now, more sideway trading is likely between 0.8332/9243. However, firm break of 0.9243 will indicate larger bullish trend reversal.




















