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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

ActionForex

Daily Pivots: (S1) 158.96; (P) 160.82; (R1) 161.90; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the downside, below 159.41 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for 148.93 again. However, firm break of 169.10 will confirm resumption of larger up trend. Also, while further rise could be seen, strong resistance might be seen from 169.10 high to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

In the bigger picture, strong support from 38.2% retracement of 123.94 to 169.10 at 151.84 suggests that price actions from 169.10 are developing into a corrective pattern only. That is, rise from 123.94 (2020 low) should resume at a later stage. This will now remain the favored case as long as 148.93 support holds.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 141.78; (P) 142.21; (R1) 142.98; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral at this point. On the downside, break of 140.77 minor support will turn bias back to the downside, to extend the corrective pattern from 145.62 with another falling leg towards 137.32 support. On the upside, above 144.06 will bring retest of 145.62 high.

In the bigger picture, as long as 133.38 support holds, the up trend from 114.42 (2020 low) could still extend through 145.62 high. In that case, next target is 149.76 (2015 high). However, sustained break of 133.38 will be a sign of medium term bearish reversal and bring deeper fall to 124.37 support first.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8693; (P) 0.8780; (R1) 0.8831; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral again as it retreated after edging higher to 0.8869. On the downside, break of 0.8723 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for resuming the fall from 0.9267 through 0.8647. next target is 0.8338 support. ON the upside, above 0.8869 will resume the rebound from 0.8647 towards 0.9267 resistance.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.8720 resistance turned support holds, rise from 0.8201 is seen as resuming larger up trend from 0.6935 (2015 low). Break of 0.9499 (2020 high) should be seen at a later stage. However, firm break of 0.8720 will argue that sideway pattern from 0.9499 is extending with another falling leg instead.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.5415; (P) 1.5477; (R1) 1.5526; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD is turned neutral with current retreat. Some consolidations could be seen but outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.5165 support holds. Above 1.5536 will target 161.8% projection of 1.4281 to 1.4965 from 1.4716 at 1.5823.

In the bigger picture, a medium term bottom should be in place at 1.4281, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Further rise would be seen back to 1.6434 key resistance next. Break of 1.4965 resistance turned support is needed to indicate reversal. Otherwise, further rally will remain in favor.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9653; (P) 0.9672; (R1) 0.9700; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, above 0.9798 will resume the rebound to 0.9864 resistance. Firm break there will solidify the case of medium term bottoming at 0.9407, and target 38.2% retracement of 1.1149 to 0.9407 at 1.0072. On the downside, below 0.9641 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retesting 0.9407 low instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9864 resistance holds, long term down trend from 1.2004 (2008 high) is expected to continue. Next target is 138.2% projection of 1.2004 to 1.0505 to 1.1149 at 0.9033. However, firm break of 0.9864 will confirm medium term bottoming, on bullish convergence condition in daily MACD. Stronger rally would then be seen back to 55 week EMA (now at 1.0152), even as a corrective rebound.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9669; (P) 0.9702; (R1) 0.9735; More...

EUR/USD continues to lose downside momentum, but further fall is in favor with 0.9816 resistance intact. Deeper decline would be seen to retest 0.9534 low. Firm break there will resume larger down trend for 100% projection of 1.0368 to 0.9534 from 0.9998 at 0.9163. On the upside, above 0.9816 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9998 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.6039 (2008 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.3993 to 1.0339 from 1.2348 at 0.8694. In any case, break of 0.9998 resistance is needed to be the first sign of medium term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish even with strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0971; (P) 1.1052; (R1) 1.1181; More...

GBP/USD continues to lose downside momentum but further fall is still in favor with 1.1178 minor resistance intact. Fall from 1.1494 would target 1.0351 low. However, break of 1.1178 will turn bias back to the upside for 1.1494 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4248 (2018 high) is resuming long term down trend from 2.1161 (2007 high). Next target is 100% projection of 2.1161 to 1.3503 from 1.7190 at 0.9532. There is no scope of a medium term rebound as long as 1.1759 support turned resistance holds.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9938; (P) 0.9971; (R1) 1.0011; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. While deeper retreat cannot be ruled out, break of 0.9779 support is needed to indicate short term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay cautiously bullish in case of retreat. On the upside, above 1.0019 will target 1.0063 high first. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, current development suggests that up trend from 0.8756 (2021 low) is still in progress. Sustained break of 1.0063 will target 100% projection of 0.9149 to 1.0063 from 0.9369 at 1.0283, and then 1.0342 (2016 high). For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9369 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 146.09; (P) 146.53; (R1) 147.33; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY stays on the upside for 147.68 long term resistance. On the downside, break of 145.789 resistance turned support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations again. But overall, outlook will remain bullish as long as 140.33 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 101.18 is still in progress, as part of the whole up trend from 75.56 (2011 low). Further rise should be seen to 147.68 (1998 high), and possibly to 100% projection of 75.56 (2011 low) to 125.85 (2015 high) from 98.97 at 149.26, For now, break of 130.38 support is needed to be the first indication of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish even in case of deep pull back.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6242; (P) 0.6271; (R1) 0.6305; More...

AUD/USD is losing some downside momentum as seen in 4 hour MACD. But further decline is expected with 0.6362 resistance holds. Current decline should target 100% projection of 0.7660 to 0.6680 from 0.7135 at 0.6155. On the upside, above 0.6362 minor resistance will turn intraday bias to the upside, for rebound to 0.6539 resistance.

In the bigger picture, down trend form 0.8006 (2021 high) is expected to continue as long as 0.6680 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 0.5506 low. Medium term momentum will now be closely monitored to gauge the chance of break of 0.5506.