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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0706; (P) 1.0735; (R1) 1.0760; More...

EUR/USD is still bounded in consolidation from 1.0685 and intraday bias remains neutral for now. While stronger recovery might be seen, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0944 resistance holds. On the downside, below 1.0685 will resume the fall from 1.1274 to 1.0609/34 cluster support zone next.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low). Strong support could be seen from 1.0634 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0609) to bring rebound, at least on first attempt. Break of 1.0944 will indicate the start of the second leg, and target retest of 1.1274. However, sustained break of 1.0609/0634 will raise the chance of bearish trend reversal, and target 61.8% retracement at 1.0199.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2446; (P) 1.2479; (R1) 1.2523; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains neutral for the moment. Another recovery could be seen, but upside should be limited by 1.2618 support turned resistance to bring another fall. Firm break of 1.2432 will resume the decline from 1.3141 and target 100% projection of 1.3141 to 1.2618 from 1.2799 at 1.2276.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.3141 medium term top is seen as a correction to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Deeper decline would be seen to 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3141 at 1.2075. Strong support would be seen there to bring rebound on first attempt. But outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.3141 resistance holds, and consolidation from there is set to extend, until further development.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8908; (P) 0.8930; (R1) 0.8959; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral for the moment. Deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 0.8743 support to bring another rally. On the upside, firm break of 0.8951 will extend the rise from 0.8551 to 0.9146 cluster resistance.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.8551 medium term bottom is currently seen as a correction to the downtrend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rally would be seen to 0.9146 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0146 to 0.8551 at 0.9160). Strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 147.08; (P) 147.41; (R1) 147.80; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 147.88 is extending. In case of another pull back, near term outlook will remain bullish as long as 144.43 support holds. On the upside, firm break of 147.88 will resume larger rise from 127.20, to retest 151.93 high.

In the bigger picture, while rise from 127.20 is strong, it could still be seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 (2022 high). Rejection by 151.93, followed by break of 137.22 support will indicate that the third leg of the pattern has started. However, sustained break of 151.93 will confirm resumption of long term up trend.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6389; (P) 0.6412; (R1) 0.6443; More...

No change in AUD/USD's outlook as range trading continues. Intraday bias remains neutral for the moment. While stronger recovery might be seen, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.6520 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 0.6356 will resume larger fall to 100% projection of 0.7156 to 0.6457 from 0.6894 at 0.6195.

In the bigger picture, current development argues that the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) is still in progress. Decisive break of 0.6169 will target 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 to 0.7156 at 0.6021. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.6894, in case of strong rebound.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3518; (P) 1.3552; (R1) 1.3584; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral as correction from 1.3693 is extending. Overall, further rally is expected as long as 1.3488 support holds. Above 1.3693 will resume the rally from 1.3091 to 1.3860 resistance, and then 1.3976 high. However, firm break of 1.3488 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are viewed as a corrective pattern only. Upon completion, rise from 1.2005 (2021 low) would resume through 1.3976. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2005 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4309. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 55 D EMA (now at 1.3465) holds.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8577; (P) 0.8604; (R1) 0.8618; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral again with current retreat. But outlook is unchanged that price actions from 0.8502 are a consolidation pattern. Above 0.8629 would bring stronger recovery, but upside should be limited 0.8700 to bring larger decline resumption. On the downside, below 0.8522 will bring retest of 0.8491 support.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Fall from 0.8977 is seen as the third leg. As long as 0.8700 resistance holds, further decline is still expected. Break of 0.8491 will resume the fall towards 0.8201 (2022 low). Nevertheless, firm break of 0.8700 will now be a sign of bullish reversal.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6675; (P) 1.6735; (R1) 1.6770; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral first as it could take out 1.6647 support decisively. On the downside, firm break of 1.6647 will extend the corrective fall from 1.7062 to 1.6259/6601 support zone. On the upside, firm break of 1.6887 resistance should confirm that correction from 1.7062 has completed at 1.6647. Further rally should be seen through 1.7062 to 1.7377 projection level.

In the bigger picture, the rise from 1.4281 (2022 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5846 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.94; (P) 158.30; (R1) 158.59; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. On the upside, firm break of 158.51 resistance will argue that larger up trend is ready to resume through 159.75, to 163.06 projection target. On the downside, sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 156.63) will argue that fall from 159.75 is a larger scale correction. Deeper fall would be seen back towards 151.39 support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 139.05 at 163.06. Sustained break there will pave the way to retest long term resistance at 169.96. This will remain the favored case as long as 151.39 support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.47; (P) 183.93; (R1) 184.66; More...

As long as 185.76 resistance holds, further decline is expected in GBP/JPY. Break of 182.66 will resume the fall from 186.75. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 182.39) will argue that it's already in a larger scale correction and target 176.29 support next. On the upside, break of 185.67 resistance will indicate that the pull back from 186.75 has completed. Further rise should then be seen through 186.75 to resume larger up trend.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). This will remain the favored case as long as 176.29 support holds, even in case of deeper pull back.