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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Eyes 1.3000 While EUR/GBP Struggles
GBP/USD is gaining pace above the 1.2900 resistance. EUR/GBP declined and is now consolidating losses above the 0.8400 region.
Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today
- The British Pound is attempting a fresh increase above 1.2950.
- There is a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.2910 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.
- EUR/GBP is trading in a bearish zone below the 0.8440 pivot level.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near 0.8425 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.
GBP/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair remained well-bid above the 1.2750 level. The British Pound started a decent increase above the 1.2850 zone against the US Dollar.
The bulls were able to push the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.2900. The pair even climbed above 1.2925 and traded as high as 1.2949. Recently, there was a minor decline below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2775 swing low to the 1.2949 high, but the bulls were active above 1.29700.
On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near 1.2925. The next major resistance is near 1.2950.
A close above the 1.2950 resistance zone could open the doors for a move toward 1.3000. Any more gains might send GBP/USD toward 1.3200. On the downside, there is a key support forming near a bullish trend line at 1.2910.
If there is a downside break below 1.2910, the pair could accelerate lower. The next major support is at 1.2860. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.2775 swing low to the 1.2949 high.
The next key support is seen near 1.2840, below which the pair could test 1.2810. Any more losses could lead the pair toward the 1.2775 support.
EUR/GBP Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair started a steady decline from well above 0.8460. The Euro traded below the 0.8440 support level against the British Pound.
The EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair even declined below the 0.8824 level and tested 0.8410. It is now consolidating losses and trading below the 50-hour simple moving average. Recently, there was a minor increase above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance near 0.8425.
The pair is now facing resistance near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8459 swing high to the 0.8412 low. The next major resistance could be 0.8435.
The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.8459 swing high to the 0.8412 low is also at 0.8435. A close above the 0.8435 level might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8460. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.8500 level.
Immediate support sits near 0.8410. The next major support is near 0.8400. A downside break below the 0.8400 support might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward the 0.8360 support level.
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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 203.34; (P) 205.73; (R1) 207.61; More...
GBP/JPY recovered after diving sharply to 203.82. While deeper fall could be seen, strong support should emerge from 38.2% retracement of 191.34 to 208.09 at 201.69 to bring rebound, and set the range of consolidations below 208.09 short term top. However, sustained break of 201.69 will argue that larger correction is already underway.
In the bigger picture, long term up trend is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 155.33 to 188.63 from 178.32 at 211.62. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 200.72 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 171.04; (P) 173.24; (R1) 174.90; More...
EUR/JPY recovered after falling sharply to 171.50. While further decline might be seen, strong support is expected from 170.87 resistance turned support to bring rebound. That should set the range for consolidations below 175.41 short term top. Nevertheless, firm break of 170.87 will argue that larger correction is already underway.
In the bigger picture, long term up trend is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 139.05 to 164.29 from 153.15 at 178.38. For now outlook will stay bullish as long as 170.87 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback. However, firm break of 170.87 will bring deeper fall to 167.52 support. Decisive break there will confirm that larger correction in in progress for 153.15/164.29 support zone.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8407; (P) 0.8422; (R1) 0.8430; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Corrective recovery form 0.8396 should have completed at 0.8498 after rejection by 55 D EMA. Deeper fall would be seen to retest 0.8396 support first. Firm break there will resume larger down trend. On the upside, above 0.8438 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376. Sustained break there will target 161.8% projection at 0.8211 next. For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds, even in case of stronger rebound.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6038; (P) 1.6062; (R1) 1.6101; More...
EUR/AUD recovered ahead of 1.5996 low as consolidations continued. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Also, outlook stays bearish as long as 1.6211 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, break of 1.5996 will target 100% projection of 1.6679 to 1.6211 from 1.6418 at 1.5950. Firm break there will target 1.5846 key support next.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support is still expected between 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.6148 resistance will argue that the correction has completed.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9717; (P) 0.9734; (R1) 0.9760; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral as consolidation continues below 0.9753. Another dip cannot be ruled out yet, but further rally is expected with 0.9639 support intact. On the upside, above 0.9754 will resume the rebound from 0.9476 to retest 0.9928 high. Nevertheless, break of 0.9639 will turn bias back to the downside for 0.9476 low instead.
In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 medium term bottom might not be completed yet. But even in case of resumption, strong resistance could emerge from 1.0095 to limit upside. Medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0094 structural resistance holds. Meanwhile, break of 0.9476 will bring retest of 0.9252 low.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3599; (P) 1.3623; (R1) 1.3658; More...
USD/CAD dipped to 1.3588 but recovered after hitting 1.3589 support. Intraday bias remains neutral first. Outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 1.3845 could extend. Break of 1.3589 will target 100% projection of 1.3845 to 1.3589 from 1.3790 at 1.3534. Strong support would be seen there to bring rebound. On the upside, above 1.3652 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 1.3790 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6736; (P) 0.6767; (R1) 0.6792; More...
AUD/USD's rally is in progress and intraday bias remains on the upside for 61.8% projection of 0.6361 to 0.6713 from 0.6619 at 0.6837. Decisive break there could prompt upside acceleration through 0.6870 resistance to 100% projection at 0.6971. On the downside, however, break of 0.6723 support will turn intraday bias to the downside for deeper pullback.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) is seen as the second leg, which could have completed at 0.6269 already. Rise from there is seen as the third leg. Break of 0.6870 will target 100% projection of 0.6269 to 0.6870 from 0.6361 at 0.6962.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.97; (P) 159.37; (R1) 161.30; More...
USD/JPY recovered after falling sharply to 157.41 but further decline is expected with 160.25 support turned resistance intact. Considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD, fall from 161.49 might already be correcting the whole five-wave rally from 140.25. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 157.71) will affirm this bearish case. Next target will be 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 163.65.
In the bigger picture, long term up trend is still in progress. Further rise is expected as long as 154.53 support holds. Next target is 100% projection of 127.20 (2023 low) to 151.89 (2023 high) from 140.25 at 164.94. However, sustained break of 154.53 will raise the chance of larger scale correction and target 140.25/151.89 support zone.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8919; (P) 0.8961; (R1) 0.9007; More…
Further decline is expected in USD/CHF with 0.9000 resistance intact. Deeper decline would be seen to 0.88825 support. Fall from 0.9223 should be in progress with near term channel intact. Break of 0.8825 will target 50% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8778 next. However, break of 0.9000 will turn bias back to the upside for 0.9049 resistance instead.
In the bigger picture, focus remains on 0.9223/9243 resistance zone. Decisive break there would suggest larger bullish trend reversal and turn outlook bullish. Nevertheless, rejection by 0.9223/43 will keep medium term outlook neutral at best, for more range trading between 0.8332/9243 first.




















