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EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 162.36; (P) 162.90; (R1) 163.42; More...

EUR/JPY is staying in consolidation below 164.89 and intraday bias remains neutral. Rise from 156.16, as a leg in the corrective pattern from 154.40, should continue as long as 160.89 support holds. On the upside, break of 164.89 will target 166.67, and above. However, firm break of 160.89 will turn bias back to the downside for 156.16 support instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 175.41 are seen as correction to rally from 114.42 (2020 low). The range of consolidation should have been set between 38.2% retracement of 114.42 to 175.41 at 152.11 and 175.41 high. However, decisive break of 152.11 would argue that deeper correction is underway.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8338; (P) 0.8372; (R1) 0.8404; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays on the upside for the moment, as rally from 0.8221 short term bottom is in progress for 0.8446 key resistance. Strong resistance might be seen there to limit upside, at least on first attempt. But for now, further rally will remain in favor as long as 0.8327 resistance turned support holds, in case retreat. Decisive break of 0.8446 will carry larger bullish implications.

In the bigger picture, considering bullish convergence condition in D MACD, decisive break of 0.8446 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming at 0.8221, just ahead of 0.8201 key support (2022 low). Further rally should be seen towards 0.8624 key resistance, even as a correction to the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high). Overall, however, medium term outlook will be neutral at best until decisive break of 0.8624 cluster zone (38.2% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8621). Risk will stay on the downside even in case of strong rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6591; (P) 1.6628; (R1) 1.6661; More...

No change in EUR/AUD's outlook as range trading continues, and intraday bias stays neutral. Corrective pattern from 1.6800 could extend further. But strong support could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 1.5963 to 1.6800 at 1.6480 to bring rebound. Near term risk will stay mildly on the downside as long as 1.6800 resistance holds, in case of extended recovery. Firm break of 1.6480 will bring deeper correction 61.8% retracement at 1.6283.

In the bigger picture, EUR/AUD is holding on to 1.5996 key support despite brief breach. Larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) is still in favor to resume through 1.7180 at a later stage. Nevertheless, sustained break of 1.5995 will indicate that such up trend has completed and deeper decline would be seen.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9385; (P) 0.9394; (R1) 0.9405; More....

No change in EUR/CHF's outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. Corrective rebound from 0.9204 could still extend higher through 0.9440. But upside should be limited by 0.9481 fibonacci resistance. On the downside, firm break of 0.9329 support will argue that the correction has completed, and bring retest of 0.9204 low.

In the bigger picture, while rebound from 0.9204 might extend higher, strong resistance could be seen from 38.2% retracement of 0.9928 to 0.9204 at 0.9481 to limit upside. Down trend from 0.9928 (2024 high) is still in favor to resume through 0.9204/9 support zone at a later stage.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.4372; (P) 1.4388; (R1) 1.4411; More...

Intraday bias USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment, and consolidations from 1.466 could extend, probably with another fall. But downside should be contained above 38.2% retracement of 1.3418 to 1.4466 at 1.4066 to bring rebound. On the upside, break of 1.4466 will resume larger up trend to 1.4667/89 key resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 1.2005 (2021) is in progress for retesting 1.4667/89 key resistance zone (2020/2015 highs). Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 1.3976 resistance turned holds (2022 high), even in case of deep pullback.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6172; (P) 0.6196; (R1) 0.6219; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral at this point, and further decline is expected as long as 0.6301 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.6169 key support will confirm larger down trend resumption. Nevertheless, break of 0.6301 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 0.6394).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term consolidation to the down trend from 0.8006, and could have completed at 0.6941 already. Firm break of 0.6169 support will confirm down trend resumption for 61.8% projection of 0.8006 to 0.6169 from 0.6941 at 0.5806 next. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 55 W EMA (now at 0.6587) holds.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 157.69; (P) 158.04; (R1) 158.51; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment, and further rally is in favor with 156.01 support intact. On the upside, firm break of 61.8% projection of 139.57 to 156.74 from 148.64 at 159.25 will extend the rally from 139.57 to retest 161.94 high. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4H MACD, firm break of 156.01 support will indicate short term topping. Intraday bias will then be back on the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 154.13) instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 161.94 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 102.58 (2021 low). The range of medium term consolidation should be set between 38.2% retracement of 102.58 to 161.94 at 139.26 and 161.94. Nevertheless, sustained break of 139.26 would open up deeper medium term decline to 61.8% retracement at 125.25.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9101; (P) 0.9117; (R1) 0.9137; More

USD/CHF is still bounded in range below 0.9136 and intraday bias remains neutral. With 0.9007 support intact, further rally is expected. On the upside, break of 0.9136 will resume the rally from 0.8374 to 0.9223 key resistance next. However, firm break of 0.8956 will turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8896).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 (2023 low) are currently seen as a medium term corrective pattern, with rise from 0.8374 as the third leg. Overall outlook will continue to stay bearish as long as 0.9223 resistance holds. Break of 0.8332 low is in favor at a later stage when the consolidation completes. However, decisive break of 0.9223 will be an important sign of bullish trend reversal.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0281; (P) 1.0302; (R1) 1.0321; More...

EUR/USD is still bounded in range of 1.0223/0457 and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. With 1.0457 resistance intact, outlook stay bearish. On the downside, firm break of 1.0223 will resume the fall from 1.1213. However, sustained break of 1.0457 will confirm short term bottoming, and turn bias to the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 1.0533).

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1274 (2023 high) should either be the second leg of the corrective pattern from 0.9534 (2022 low), or another down leg of the long term down trend. In both cases, sustained break of 61.8 retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 will pave the way back to 0.9534. For now, outlook will stay bearish as long as 1.0629 resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2240; (P) 1.2306; (R1) 1.2375; More...

There is no clear sign of bottoming yet in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains on the downside. Sustained trading below 1.2256 fibonacci level will carry larger bearish implications. On the upside, break of 1.2376 will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 1.2486 support turned resistance should confirm short term bottoming.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3433 medium term are seen as correcting whole up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Strong support is still expected from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.3433 at 1.2256 to bring rebound to extend the corrective pattern. However, firm break of 1.2256 will argue that the trend has reversed and target 61.8% retracement at 1.1528.