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USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.89; (P) 153.27; (R1) 153.89; More...
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. With 38.2% retracement of 139.87 to 159.44 at 151.96 intact, price actions from 159.44 are seen as a consolidations pattern only. On the upside, firm break of 154.63 minor resistance will bring stronger rebound towards 157.65. However, decisive break of 151.96 will argue that it's reversing the rise from 139.87 already. In this case, deeper fall should then be seen to 61.8% retracement at 147.34, and possibly below.
In the bigger picture, outlook is unchanged that corrective pattern from 161.94 (2024 high) should have completed with three waves at 139.87. Larger up trend from 102.58 (2021 low) could be ready to resume through 161.94. This will remain the favored case as long as 55 W EMA (now at 151.77) holds. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that the pattern from 161.94 is extending with another falling leg.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3616; (P) 1.3639; (R1) 1.3653; More...
Sideway trading continues in GBP/USD and intraday bias remains neutral first. On the upside, firm break of 1.3732 will suggest that pullback from 1.3867 has completed as a correction at 1.3507. Retest of 1.3867 should be seen first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend towards 1.4284 key resistance. On the downside, however, sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 1.3518) will raise the chance of larger scale correction, and target 1.3342 support for confirmation.
In the bigger picture, rise from 1.0351 (2022 low) still in progress and should target 1.4284 key resistance (2021 high). Decisive break there will add to the case of long term bullish trend reversal. For now, outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.3008 support holds, even in case of deep pullback.
USD/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7678; (P) 0.7692; (R1) 0.7709; More….
Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays neutral at this point, and consolidation from 0.7603 could extend. Stronger rebound cannot be ruled out but upside should be limited by 55 D EMA (now at 0.7855) to complete the pattern. On the downside, break of 0.7603 will resume larger down trend, and target 0.7382 projection level next.
In the bigger picture, down trend from 1.0342 (2017 high) is still in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 1.0146 (2022 high) to 0.8332 from 0.9200 at 0.7382. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8123 resistance holds.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.7055; (P) 0.7076; (R1) 0.7093; More...
Intraday bias in AUD/USD stays neutral for the moment. Consolidation from 0.7146 would extend further and deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But downside should be contained above 0.6896 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 0.7146 will resume larger up trend to 100% projection of 0.5913 to 0.6706 from 0.6420 at 0.7213.
In the bigger picture, current development argues that rise from 0.5913 (2024 low) is reversing whole down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Further rally should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8006 to 0.5913 at 0.7206. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.6706 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3614; (P) 1.3627; (R1) 1.3651; More...
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral and more consolidations would be seen above 1.3480. While stronger rebound cannot be ruled out, upside should be limited by 55 D EMA (now at 1.3744) to complete the pattern. On the downside, firm break of 1.3480 will resume larger down trend from 1.4791 to 61.8% projection of 1.4791 to 1.3538 from 1.4139 at 1.3365.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.4791 are seen as a corrective pattern to the whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Deeper fall could be seen as the pattern extends, to 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.4791 at 1.3069. For now, medium term outlook will be neutral at best, until there are signs that the correction has completed, or that a bearish trend reversal is confirmed.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9110; (P) 0.9124; (R1) 0.9134; More....
Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen above 0.9092. Further decline is expected as long as long as 0.9180 resistance holds. Firm break of 0.9092 will resume larger down trend and target 261.8% projection of 0.9394 to 0.9268 from 0.9347 at 0.9143. However, considering bullish convergence condition in 4H MACD, decisive break of 0.9180 will indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound towards 55 D EMA (now at 0.9232).
In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9928 (2024 high) is still in progress with falling 55 W EMA (now at 0.9258) intact. Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.1149 to 0.9407 from 0.9928 at 0.8851. Outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.9394 resistance holds, in case of recovery.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8687; (P) 0.8695; (R1) 0.8704; More…
Range trading continues in EUR/GBP and intraday bias remains neutral. On the upside, decisive break of 0.8744 resistance will indicate that fall from 0.8863 has completed as a correction. Further rally should then be seen back to retest 0.8863 high. On the downside, sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8221 to 0.8663 at 0.8618 will carry larger bearish implications and turn outlook bearish.
In the bigger picture, rise from 0.8221 medium term bottom (2024 low) is seen as a corrective move. Upside should be limited by 61.8% retracement of 0.9267 to 0.8221 at 0.8867. Sustained trading below 55 W EMA (now at 0.8631) should confirm that this corrective bounce has completed. In this case, deeper fall would be seen back to 0.8201/21 key support zone. However, decisive break of 0.8867 will suggest that EUR/GBP is already reversing whole decline from 0.9267 (2022 high). That should pave the way back to 0.9267.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6710; (P) 1.6767; (R1) 1.6815; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral and more consolidations could be seen above 1.6620. Outlook will remain bearish as long as 1.7060 resistance holds. On the downside, break of 16620 will resume larger down trend from 1.8554 to 138.2% projection of 1.8554 to 1.7245 from 1.8160 at 1.6351 next. However, firm break of 1.7060 will indicate short term bottoming, and bring stronger rebound.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.8554 medium term top is seen as reversing the whole up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). Deeper decline should be seen to 61.8% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.8554 at 1.5913, which is slightly below 1.5963 structural support. For now, risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.7245 support turned resistance holds, even in case of strong rebound.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.30; (P) 181.80; (R1) 182.44; More...
No change in EUR/JPY's outlook and intraday bias stays neutral. Focus remains on 38.2% retracement of 172.24 to 186.86 at 181.27. On the downside, sustained break of 181.27 will argue that fall from 186.86 is correcting whole up trend from 154.77. Next near term target will be 161.8% projection of 186.86 to 181.76 from 186.22 at 177.96. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 182.99 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 186.86 high first.
In the bigger picture, considering bearish divergence condition in D MACD and break of 55 D EMA (now at 182.64), a medium term top could be formed at 186.86 already. Deeper correction would be seen but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 154.77 to 186.86 at 174.60 to bring rebound. Meanwhile, firm break of 186.86 will resume larger up trend to 78.6% projection of 124.37 to 175.41 from 154.77 at 194.88 next.
GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 207.82; (P) 208.58; (R1) 209.28; More...
Outlook in GBP/JPY is unchanged. Intraday bias stays neutral with immediate focus on 38.2% retracement of 197.47 to 214.98 at 208.29. Sustained break of 208.29 will suggest that larger scale correction is already underway and target 203.27 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, strong rebound from current level, followed by break of 210.47 minor resistance will retain near term bullishness, and bring retest of 214.83/98 resistance zone.
In the bigger picture, considering the break of 55 D EMA (now at 209.88), a medium term top could be formed at 214.98. Deeper correction would be seen, but downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 184.35 to 214.98 at 203.27. On the upside, break of 214.98 will resume larger up trend from from 123.94 (2020 low), and target 61.8% projection of 148.93 (2022 low) to 208.09 (2024 high) from 184.35 at 220.90.




















