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Short Term Elliott Wave in Nasdaq Futures (NQ_F) shows cycle from October 27, 2023 low is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse. This cycle is mature even though it still can extend higher in the shorter cycle. Up from October 27 low, wave (1) ended at 15453.75 and pullback in wave (2) ended at 15207.75. The Index then extended higher in wave (3). Up from wave (2), wave 1 ended at 15612.75 and wave 2 ended at 15465.25.

Index extended to the upside and ended wave 3 at 16049.50. Wave 4 as triangle structure ended at 15887.25. Last push higher is still developing. We are calling an ending diagonal structure to end wave 5 of (3). The structure needs one more high to end the cycle and it could reach 16216.25 – 16280.25 area to finish wave (3). Once we watch a reaction lower, wave (4) correction should start in 3, 7, or 11 swing before further upside in wave (5). Near term, as far as pivot at 15206.46 low is holding, expect dips to find support in 3, 7, 11 swing for further upside. As an alternate, wave (5) can be ending with the new high and the Index should then see a bigger pullback to correct cycle from October 27 low.

Nasdaq (NQ_F) 60 Minutes Elliott Wave Chart

Nasdaq (NQ) Elliott Wave Video

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xGkdqdf6_GI

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0883; (P) 1.0906; (R1) 1.0929; More...

EUR/USD is extending the consolidation from 1.0964 and intraday bias stays neutral for the moment. Further rally is in favor as long as 1.0823 support holds. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.1274 to 1.0447 at 1.0958 will resume the rise from 1.0447 to retest 1.1274 high. However, firm break of 1.0823 will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Rise from 1.0447 is tentatively seen as the second leg. Hence while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.1274 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 149.08; (P) 149.38; (R1) 149.88; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. On the downside, break of 148.57 minor support will indicate rejection by 55 4H EMA, and turn bias back to the downside for 147.14 and below, to resume the fall from 151.89. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA (now at 149.62) will revive near term bullishness, and target a retest on 151.89/93 resistance zone.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 (2023 low) is seen as the second leg of the pattern from 151.93 resistance (2022 high). Decisive break of 145.06 resistance turned support will confirm that this second leg has completed, after rejection by 151.93. Deeper fall would be seen through 38.2% retracement of 127.20 to 151.89 at 142.45 to 61.8% retracement at 136.63. Nevertheless strong bounce from 145.06 will retain medium term bullishness for another test on 151.93 at a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2494; (P) 1.2529; (R1) 1.2568; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/USD stays on the upside at this point. Current rise from 1.2036 should target 61.8% retracement of 1.3141 to 1.2036 at 1.2716 next. On the downside, though, below 1.2447 minor support will turn intraday bias again first, and probably bring lengthier consolidations.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 are seen as a corrective pattern to rise from 1.0351 (2022 low). Strong rebound from 38.2% retracement of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 at 1.2075 argues that current rise from 1.2036 is the second leg. However, while further rally could be seen, upside should be limited by 1.3141 to bring the third leg of the pattern.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8820; (P) 0.8839; (R1) 0.8861; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral as consolidation continues. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out. But near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8952 support turned resistance holds. On the downside, below 0.8815 will resume whole decline from 0.9243 to 100% projection of 0.9243 to 0.8886 from 0.9111 at 0.8754 next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8551 are currently seen as part of a corrective pattern to the decline from 1.0146 (2022 high). Fall from 0.9243 is seen as the second leg for now. Deeper fall would be seen to 61.8% retracement of 0.8551 to 0.9243 at 0.8815. Sustained break there will bring retest of 0.8551 low. For now, this will remain the favored case as long as 0.9111 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6540; (P) 0.6558; (R1) 0.6575; More...

AUD/USD is extending the consolidation pattern from 0.6588 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside of retreat should be contained above 0.6451 support to bring another rally. On the upside, above 0.6588 will resume the rebound from 0.6269 to falling channel resistance (now at 0.6676) next.

In the bigger picture, there is no confirmation that down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) has completed. While current rebound from 0.6269 might extend higher, it could be the third leg of the corrective pattern from 0.6169 (2022 low) only. For now, medium term bearishness will remain as long as 0.6894 resistance holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3661; (P) 1.3686; (R1) 1.3721; More...

USD/CAD is still extending the sideway pattern from 1.3897 and intraday bias remains neutral. While another fall cannot be ruled out, downside should be contained by 38.2% retracement of 1.3091 to 1.3897 at 1.3589 to bring rebound. Break of 1.3897 is expected at a later stage to resume larger rally.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3976 (2022 high) should have completed with three waves down to 1.3091. Decisive break of 1.3976 high will confirm resumption of up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3091 at 1.4064. This will remain the favored case as long as 1.3378 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8684; (P) 0.8704; (R1) 0.8721; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral at this point. Another rally is still in favor with 0.8687 support holds. On the upside, break of 0.8764 will resume whole rebound from 0.8491. However, decisive break of 0.8687 will confirm short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for 0.8648 support and below.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) should have completed completed with three down to to 0.8491. Rise from 0.8491 is seen as another leg inside that pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Further rally should be seen to 0.8977 resistance and above. This will remain the favored case as long as 0.8648 support holds.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6601; (P) 1.6626; (R1) 1.6653; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains mildly on the downside for the moment. Deeper Deeper fall would be seen to 1.6449 support next. Firm break there will argue that the pattern from 1.6319 has completed at 1.6844 as a corrective move, and fall from 1.7062 is ready to resume through 1.6319. On the upside, above 1.6694 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, while 1.7062 is a medium term top, there is no clear sign of trend reversal as EUR/AUD continues to draw strong support from the medium term trend line. Break of 1.7062 will resume the larger up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) to 1.7691 fibonacci level. Nevertheless, break of 1.6449 support will argue that deeper correction is underway to 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9627; (P) 0.9638; (R1) 0.9654; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of 0.9691 resistance will carry larger bullish implication, and target 0.9840 resistance next. However, break of 0.9620 support will indicate short term topping, and turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.0095 (2023 high) might have completed at 0.9416, just ahead of 0.9407 support (2022 low). Sustained break of 0.9691 cluster resistance (38.2% retracement of 1.0095 to 0.9416 at 0.9675) will pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 0.9836 and above. However, rejection by 0.9691 will maintain medium term bearishness for another test on 0.9407 at least.