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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0863; (P) 1.0893; (R1) 1.0908; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and further rally is still in favor with 55 D EMA (now at 1.0854) intact. On the upside, break of 1.1011 will resume the rise from 1.0634 and target 1.1094 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger up trend from 0.9534 to 1.1273 fibonacci level. However, firm break of 1.0834 will turn bias to the downside for 1.0634 support instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 1.0515 support holds, rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) would still extend higher. Sustained break of 61.8% retracement of 1.2348 (2021 high) to 0.9534 at 1.1273 will solidify the case of bullish trend reversal and target 1.2348 resistance next (2021 high).

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2685; (P) 1.2712; (R1) 1.2740; More...

No change in GBP/USD's outlook and intraday bias stays mildly on the upside for retesting 1.2847 high first. Firm break there will resume larger up trend from 1.0351, to 61.8% projection of 1.0351 to 1.2445 from 1.1801 at 1.3095. On the downside, though, break of 1.2589 will extend the fall to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2547).

In the bigger picture, the strong support from 55 W EMA (now at 1.2341) is a medium term bullish sign. Outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.2306 support holds. Rise from 1.0351 medium term bottom (2022 low) is expected to extend further to retest 1.4248 key resistance (2021 high).

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8953; (P) 0.8965; (R1) 0.8984; More...

Range trading continues in USD/CHF and intraday bias remains neutral. Also, near term outlook stays bearish for now. On the downside, break of 0.8900 will resume the fall from 0.9146 to 0.8818 low or below. On the upside, above 0.9015 will bring stronger rise towards 0.9146 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.1046 (2022 high) is seen as a leg in the long term range pattern from 1.0342 (2016 high). While further decline cannot be ruled out, strong support is expected from 0.8756 long term support to bring reversal. Firm break of 0.9146 resistance should confirm medium term bottoming.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 144.22; (P) 144.47; (R1) 144.72; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 145.06 is extending. On the downside, break of 55 4H EMA (now at 143.79) could trigger deeper correction. But further rally will remain in favor as long as 140.90 resistance turned support holds. On the upside, break of 145.06 will resume larger rise to 161.8% projection of 127.20 to 137.90 from 129.62 at 146.93.

In the bigger picture, rise from 127.20 is currently seen as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 151.93 high. Further rally is expected as long as 138.75 support holds, to retest 151.93. But strong resistance could be seen there to limit upside. Break of 138.75 will indicate the the third leg has started back towards 127.20.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6654; (P) 0.6680; (R1) 0.6717; More...

AUD/USD is still staying in consolidation from 0.6594 and intraday bias remains neutral. Further fall is in favor with 0.6719 resistance intact. On the downside, break of 0.6594 will resume the decline from 0.6898 to 0.6457 support next. Nevertheless, firm break of 0.6719 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.7156 are seen as a correction to the rebound from 0.6169 only, rather than part of larger down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Break of 0.6457 could be seen but downside should be contained above 0.6169. This will now remain the favored case as high as 0.6898 resistance holds. Nevertheless, break of 0.6898 resistance will argue that rise form 0.6169 is ready to resume through 0.7156.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3198; (P) 1.3228; (R1) 1.3252; More....

Intraday bias USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment and outlook is unchanged. A short term bottom was formed at 1.3115, and further rise is mildly in favor. Break of 1.3284 will resume the rebound from 1.3115 to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3373).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 are still viewed as a correction to up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Risk will stay on the downside as long as 1.3299 support turned resistance holds. Next target is 61.8% retracement of 1.2005 to 1.3976 at 1.2758. However, sustained trading above 1.3229 will raise the chance that the correction has completed and turn focus back to 1.3653 resistance.

GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 183.32; (P) 183.61; (R1) 183.99; More...

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY stays mildly on the upside at this point. Current up trend should target 138.2% projection of 148.93 to 172.11 from 155.33 at 187.36. On the downside, break of 182.12 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for deeper pull back first.

In the bigger picture, up trend from 123.94 (2020 low) is extending. Next target is 195.86 (2015 high). For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 172.11 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.91; (P) 157.41; (R1) 157.69; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stay neutral at this point. Consolidation from 157.99 is extending and deeper retreat cannot be ruled out. But further rally is still expected as long as 154.03 support holds. On the upside, break of 157.99 will resume larger up trend to 162.82 projection level. However, break of 154.03 will argue that larger correction is under way back to 151.60 resistance turned support.

In the bigger picture, rise from 114.42 (2020 low) is in progress. Next target is 100% projection of 124.37 to 148.38 from 138.81 at 162.82. For now, medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 151.60 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pull back.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8540; (P) 0.8572; (R1) 0.8588; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains neutral as range trading continues. Rejection by 55 D EMA (now at 0.8646) is keeping near term outlook bearish. Break of 0.8517 will resume the whole decline from 0.8977. On the upside, above 0.8657 resistance will resume the rebound from 0.8517 towards 0.8717 support turned resistance.

In the bigger picture, the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. It's seen as part of the long term range pattern from 0.9499 (2020 high). Deeper fall could be seen towards 0.8201 (2022 low). But strong support should be seen from there to bring reversal. This will now remain the favored case as long as 0.8717 support turned resistance holds.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6202; (P) 1.6307; (R1) 1.6361; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays neutral and further rally is expected with 1.6255 support intact. As noted before, correction from 1.6785 should have completed with three waves down to 1.5846. Above 1.6552 will target a retest on 1.6785 high next. Nevertheless, on the downside, firm break of 1.6255 will dampen this view and turn bias to the downside for 1.5846 support.

In the bigger picture, with 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.6785 at 1.5828 intact, rally from 1.4281 is still in progress. Firm break of 1.6785 will confirm rise resumption. Next target is 100% projection of 1.5254 to 1.6785 from 1.5846 at 1.7377. On the other hand, rejection by 1.6785 will extend the corrective pattern with another fall leg. But outlook will stay bullish as long as 1.5828 holds.