EUR/USD Pressing 1.2 Key Support as Dollar Lifted by Yellen
Dollar opens the week generally higher, as supported by comments from former Fed chair Janet Yellen. Though, at this point, Yen mildly stronger while Swiss Franc is also firm. The triple argues that there is some underlying cautiousness in investor sentiments, despite solid Q4 China data. That's also reflected...
BOC Preview – All Eyes on Likelihood of Micro Rate Cut
BOC is widely expected to leave its overnight rate at the effective lower bound of 0.25% in January. The size of asset purchases will also stay unchanged at CAD4B/week. Over the past month, there has been market speculations about the possibility of a micro rate cut since November. While...
Dollar and Yen in Driving Seat While Other Markets Turned Mixed
Sterling ended the week as the best performing one. But the late selloff, and rejection by resistance against Dollar and Yen, suggest that the latter too were in the driving seat. Weakness was apparently see in Euro, New Zealand Dollar, and to a lesser extent Australian. Dollar could be...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Rebound in USD Prone to be Short-lived
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended January 12, NET SHORT of USD Index futures fell -1 045 contracts to 14 952. Speculative long positions dropped -941 contracts, and short positions decreased -1 986 contracts. USD rebounded as talks about Fed's balance sheet...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Crude Oil Price Lost Momentum after Gaining Three Weeks in a Row
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended January 12, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures gained +9 068 contracts to 527 717 for the week. Speculative long position rose +8 183 contracts, while shorts slipped -885 contracts. While recording its third consecutive weekly gain,...
Yen and Swiss Franc Rise as Sentiments Weighed Down by Weak Data
Yen and Swiss Franc are trading stronger together with Dollar today, as stock markets are pulling back slightly. On the other hand, New Zealand Dollar is leading other commodity currencies lower. US President-elect Joe Biden's new spending package was generally ignored by investors. Instead, worse than expected US data...
Euro Stays Weak, More Downside Before Weekly Close
The forex markets are generally staying in tight range in Asian session today. Dollar is mildly higher even though Fed chair Jerome Powell further talked down stimulus removal. Yen is also strengthening while commodity currencies turn slightly softer. For the week, Sterling remains the strongest one, followed by Canadian....
Euro’s Decline Continues as Italy Yields Jump, Dollar and Yen Mixed
Euro's broad based decline continues today, dragging down the Swiss Franc, and to a lesser extent Sterling too. Italy bench yield jumps sharply on increasing risk of fresh elections in the summer. On the other hand, commodity currencies continue to be strong, as supported by overall solid risk sentiments....
Euro Falls Against Commodity Currencies, Dollar Mixed Despite Pull Back in Yields
Selloff in Euro against commodity currencies appear to be a main theme today, in otherwise mixed markets. Dollar seems not too bothered by the pull back in treasury yields overnight and stays generally inside last week's range. Sterling is struggling to extend gain despite staying as the strongest one...
US Crude Inventory Continued to Trim, while Petroleum Stockpile Gained Further
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks sank -9.43 mmb to 1334.27 mmb in the week ended January 8. Crude oil inventory dropped -3.25 mmb (consensus: -2.27 mmb) to 482.21 mmb. Stockpile decreased in 4 out...
Sterling Strong in Mixed Markets, Dollar Stabilizes
Sterling strength continues today, in the otherwise mixed markets. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson told the parliament that restrictions measures are already "starting to have an effect in many parts of the country". Canadian Dollar is following as second strongest for today, lifted slightly by upside acceleration in oil...
CAD to Gain Further On Risk Appetite and Higher Crude Oil Price, Upside Limited by BOC Actions
Similar to Australian dollar, Canadian dollar this year should continue to benefit from broad-based USD weakness, global recovery, and rebound in commodity, in particular crude oil, prices. However, with the US as its largest trading partner, BOC should track the Fed’s monetary policy closely, and avoid excessive appreciation of...
Dollar Reversed as Fed Officials Talk Down Tapering, Sterling Strong
Dollar dropped notably overnight and stays weak in Asian session. Some Fed officials toned down the talk of tapering the asset purchase program, or any monetary stimulus removal. Sterling, on the other hand, is extending this week's rally, after BoE talked down negative interest rates. The forex markets are...
Sterling Rises on BoE Comments, Dollar Lost Momentum
Sterling surges broadly today after BoE Governor criticized that negative interest rates have a lot of issues. Commodity currencies are currently the next strongest, reversing some of this week's pull back. On the other hand, Dollar is now the weakest one for the day, as the near term recovery...
Dollar Firm on Upbeat Fedspeaks, at a Near Term Juncture
Dollar remains firm after some Fed officials' upbeat talks about the second half but buying appears to be slowing slightly in Asian session. Gold is also setting in range for now, reflecting some hesitation to push the greenback further higher. Yen and commodity currencies turned mixed, together with the...
Dollar Rises Further, Gold Recovers, Stocks Pare Recent Gains
Dollar's rebound extends further today and remains firm entering into US session. Yen is following as the second strongest. Markets are paring back recent strong risk-on sentiment, on concern of near term deterioration in coronavirus spread and lockdowns. Commodity currencies are generally weakest for now, as led by Australian...
China’s Inflation Surprised to Upside in December. Outlook Moderates amidst Fall in Pork Price
China’s inflation surprised to the upside in December. Thanks to food price, headline CPI improved to +0.2% y/y in December, compared to deflation of -0.5% a month ago. Food inflation rebounded to +1.2% y/y, after contracting -2% a month ago, as pork price deflation narrowed to -1.3% from November’s...
Dollar Continues to Rebound, Coronavirus Worries Might be Coming Back
Dollar trades generally higher today as rebound continues. Yen and Swiss Franc are following as the next strongest so far. Commodity currencies are generally lower as led by Australian Dollar. The picture might imply risk aversion but there is no clear selloff in Asian markets. At the time of...
Dollar Relatively Resilient in Strong Risk-on Market, Setting the Base for a Rebound?
Global investors were all in risk seeking mode in the first full week of 2021. That came despite all the headlines of surges in coronavirus infection and death, return to strict lockdowns, chaos in Washington and Joe Biden's certification as US President-Elect. Dollar didn't perform too well but there...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – USD Started 2021 with More Selling
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended January 5, NET SHORT of USD Index futures added +395 contracts to 14 952. Speculative long positions climbed higher, by +279 contracts, and short positions increased +788 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET LENGTH in EUR futures...