Dollar Recovers Mildly But Key Events Lie Ahead
The market opened the month with mildly positive sentiment, with major Asian indexes trading higher. But there is little reaction in the currency markets. Commodity currencies are generally soft for now, with slight losses in particular in Kiwi and Loonie. On the other hand, Dollar, Yen and Euro are...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Net Short of GBP Futures will Likely Trim Next Week
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended July 27, NET SHORT of USD index futures rose +4 353 contracts to 16 541. Speculative long positions added +2 976 contracts while shorts decreased -1 377 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET LENGTH in EUR futures...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Crude Oil’s Net Long Increased Only Slightly Despite Price Rise
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended July 27. NET LENGTH for crude oil futures added +1 024 contracts to 449 764 for the week. Speculative long position gained +8 365 contracts, while shorts increased +7 341 contracts. Bets on higher and lower crude...
More Downside for Dollar and Aussie, Swiss Franc Outperforms
Dollar's selloff caught much attention last week, but slowed towards the end. Traders are holding their bets for now, awaiting the coming batch of July data. Indeed, Australian Dollar was the worst performer, mainly on RBA QE expectations, and partly on risk aversion in China and Hong Kong. New...
Dollar Recovers after Personal Income and Spending, But Still the Worst Performer
Dollar recovers mildly in early US session, following slight weakness in risk sentiments. Additionally, stronger than expected personal income and spending are providing some support too. Still, the greenback remains the worst performing one for the week. There is prospect of Yen, Aussie or Kiwi overtaking Dollar as biggest...
Dollar Soft after Selloff, Euro Awaits GDP
Dollar suffered another round of selloff overnight and stays soft. Mild risk aversion in Asia is not helping the greenback much. But commodity currencies are following closely, in particular Aussie and Kiwi, as the next worst performers for the week. European majors look set to be the winners of...
Dollar Drops Further after GDP and Job Misses, Gold Surges
Dollar's decline continues and accelerates a little in early US session after weak economic data. Gold is also accelerating upwards, in tandem with the greenback's movements. Yen is following as second worst for now, following recovery in European stocks and US futures. Commodity currencies and Sterling are currently the...
Dollar Falls Broadly after Fed, Q2 GDP Next
Dollar drops broadly overnight and stays weak, even though Fed acknowledged that progress has already been made in the economy. Uncertainty in the risk markets is keeping Aussie soft too. But Canadian Dollar is apparently rebounding with resilience in oil prices. Sterling is also strong with Swiss Franc while...
FOMC Review: Economy Moving Toward Inflation and Employment Goals. FOMC Minutes and Jackson Holes in Focus
The Fed sounded cautiously optimistic at the July meeting. The members acknowledged continued improvements in economic activities and that “the economy has made progress toward" the "maximum employment and price stability goals". While leaving all monetary policy measures unchanged, Chair Jerome Powell affirmed the the ongoing discussions over tapering....
Dollar Trying to Recover ahead of FOMC, Market Sentiments Steady
Dollar is trying to recover in early US session but upside is limited so far. Overall market sentiments stabilized as US stocks might have regained footing for another take on new records. Also, traders are turning a little bit more cautious ahead of FOMC statement and press conference. Overall...
Aussie to Stay Weak in Near-term as Lockdown Measures to Weigh On Third Quarter Growth. RBA could Delay Tapering
AUDUSD is prone to be the weakest performer among majors in July. The selloff accelerated 2 weeks ago as the resurgence of coronavirus has triggered lockdown in New South Wales, Victoria and South Australia. In the near-term, sentiment over the currency pair could remain weak as state governments would...
Sterling Firm, Dollar Mixed, as Focus Turns to FOMC
Asian markets continue to trade in risk averse mode today but selling has somewhat decelerated. Commodity currencies remain the weakest ones for the weak on risk-off sentiment, while Aussie is ignoring stronger than expected inflation reading. Yen and Swiss Franc are both strong, but they were outshone by Sterling....
Yen Jumps Again as Markets Turned Risk-Off
Overall markets are in risk-off mode today, started with steep selloff in Hong Kong and China stocks. Nevertheless, losses in Europe are limited, while DOW future is just slightly lower. In the currency markets, commodity currencies are the worst performing ones, as led by New Zealand Dollar. Yen is...
Dollar Soft in Quiet Markets, European Majors in Control
The forex markets are rather quiet in Asia, with major pairs and crosses stuck inside yesterday's tight range. Risk sentiments are mixed. While US indexes extended the record runs overnight, Asian index are struggling, as dragged down by extended selloff in Hong Kong. Overall, European majors are generally firmer...
FOMC Preview – Policy Stance to Stay Intact Despite Surging Inflation
With no updates on median dot plots and economic projections, the focus of this week’s FOMC meeting would be the policy statement and the press conference. Since the June meeting, inflation has continued to accelerate. Market optimism was, however, overshadowed by the spread of Delta variant. Policymakers should likely...
Sterling Rises on Falling Delta Infections, Dollar Softens
Sterling rises broadly today despite dovish comments from a BoE policymaker. Sentiment towards the Pound is likely support by declining trend in delta variant infections. Other European majors are also firm together with Yen. On the other hand. Dollar is currently the weakest one, followed by commodity currencies. Traders...
Swiss Franc and Yen Higher on Selloff in Hong Kong and China
Yen and Swiss Franc are trading mildly higher as the week starts. Heavy selling is seen in stock markets in Hong Kong and China. Yet, Japan came back from holiday with mild gains. Commodity currencies are generally soft, with Aussie leading the way down. Dollar and Euro are mixed...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Loonie Fell In Line with Crude Oil’s Decline
As suggested in the CFTC Commitments of Traders report in the week ended July 20, NET SHORT of USD index futures gained +931 contracts to 12 188. Speculative long positions added +1 280 contracts while shorts increased +349 contracts. Concerning European currencies, NET LENGTH in EUR futures fell -13...
CFTC Commitments of Traders – Long Bets Trimmed on Crude Oil Futures amidst Profit-Taking
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended July 20. NET LENGTH for crude oil futures slumped -50 356 contracts to 448 740 for the week. Speculative long position declined -43272 contracts, while shorts rose +7 084 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH for...
Stocks Closed at Records as Delta Worries Receded, Dollar Index Holding On to Weak Rally
It has been a very volatile week as risk markets were initial knocked down by fear of the infectious delta variant. But sentiment made an about-turn then, even with US indexes closing at record highs. Still, despite late recovery, Australian Dollar ended as the weakest one. Yen was surprisingly...