Australian Dollar falls broadly in Asian session, after release of poor service sector data, and on the back of risk aversion. AUD/JPY’s break of 92.11 temporary low confirms down resumption of decline from 99.32. Near term outlook will stay bearish as long as 94.52 resistance holds, even in case of recovery. Next target is 90.51 support first.
For now, it’s unsure whether fall from 99.32 is corrective the up trend from 78.77 only, or that from 59.85. Reaction to 55 week EMA (now at 89.60) should reveal which case it is. In the bearish case, AUD/JPY could fall further to 38.2% retracement of 59.85 to 99.32 at 84.24 before bottoming.




















Eurozone Sentix dropped to -38.3, Germany in catastrophic state
Eurozone Sentix investor confidence dropped from -31.8 to -38.3 in October, lowest since May 2020. Current situation index dropped from -26.5 to -35.3, worst since August 2020. Expectations index dropped from -37.0 to -41.0, lowest since December 2008.
Sentix said: “The ongoing uncertainties about the gas and energy situation in winter have not diminished due to the attack on the Nordstream pipelines. In addition to the economic worries, there is now also an increasing probability of an escalation of the military conflict in Ukraine.”
Germany investor confidence dropped from -29.9 to -37.4, lowest since March 2009. Current situation index dropped from -23.5 to -33.5, lowest since July 2020. Expectations index dropped from -36.0 to -41.3, an all-time low. Sentix said the data signaled a “catastrophic state of the economic condition” in Germany.
Full release here.