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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 198.20; (P) 198.56; (R1) 198.84; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the upside for the moment. Current rise from 191.34, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 200.53, should target 100% projection of 191.34 to 180.07 from 195.02 at 200.75. But upside should be limited there. On the downside, below 198.25 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 195.02 will argue that the third leg has started, and target 191.34 support and possibly below.
In the bigger picture, a medium term top could be in place at 200.53 after breaching 199.80 long term fibonacci level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 184.47) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 178.32 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 178.32 support.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 169.36; (P) 169.65; (R1) 169.97; More...
Further rise is mildly in favor in EUR/JPY despite loss of upside momentum. Rise from164.01, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58, would target 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62. On the downside, break of 169.05 minor support will intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 167.31 should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg towards 164.01.
In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.70) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.
EUR/GBP Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8495; (P) 0.8519; (R1) 0.8535; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/GBP remains on the downside at this point. Firm break of 0.8491/7 support zone will confirm larger down trend resumption. Next target is 0.8376 projection level next. On the upside though, above 0.8540 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.
In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as EUR/GBP is capped below medium term falling trendline. That is, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.8491/7 will target 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376.
EUR/AUD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6275; (P) 1.6324; (R1) 1.6398; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. On the upside, firm break of 1.6381 resistance will confirm short term bottoming at 1.6211. Intraday bias will be back on the upside for 55 D EMA (now at 1.6411) and above. On the downside, break of 1.6211 will resume larger corrective decline from 1.7062 to 1.6127 support.
In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of deeper fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.
EUR/CHF Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9889; (P) 0.9903; (R1) 0.9923; More....
EUR/CHF's rally resumed after brief consolidations and intraday bias is back on the upside. Sustained break of 61.8% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 0.9899 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0106, which is slightly above 1.0095 key structural resistance. On the downside, below 0.9876 minor support will turn bias back to the downside for retreat, back to 0.9728/9835 support zone.
In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3646; (P) 1.3672; (R1) 1.3720; More...
Immediate focus is now on 1.3589 resistance in USD/CAD. firm break there will argue that corrective fall from 1.3845 has completed at 1.3589 already. Further rise should be seen to 1.3761 resistance first. Break there will bring retest of 1.3845 high. On the downside, however, sustained break of 55 D EMA will argue that whole rise from 1.3176 has completed already, and turn outlook bearish.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.
AUD/USD Daily Report
Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6590; (P) 0.6637; (R1) 0.6667; More...
Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains neutral first and more consolidations could be seen below 0.6713. Further rally is expected as long as 0.6578 support holds. As noted before, fall from 0.6870 has probably completed with three waves down to 0.6361 already. Above 0.6713 will target 0.6870 resistance next. However, firm break of 0.6578 will dampen this bullish view. Sustained trading below 55 D EMA (now at 0.6571) will bring deeper decline back to 0.6361 support instead.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) is seen as the second leg, which could have completed at 0.6269 already. Rise from there is seen as the third leg which is now trying to resume through 0.6870 resistance.
EUR/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0805; (P) 1.0834; (R1) 1.0852; More...
Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral for the moment. On the upside, break of 1.0894 will resume the rise from 1.0601 to 1.0980 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm that whole fall from 1.1138 has completed at 1.0601 already. However, firm break of 1.0810 will dampen this bullish case, and turn bias back to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 1.0788) and below.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.1138 is seen as the third leg and could have completed. Firm break of 1.1138 will argue that larger up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.1274 high. On the downside, break of 1.0601 will extend the corrective pattern instead.
GBP/USD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2691; (P) 1.2726; (R1) 1.2753; More...
Intraday bias in GBP/USD is turned neutral first as it continued to lost upside momentum as seen in 4H MACD. On the upside. decisive break of 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2633 from 1.2445 at 1.2780 will extend the rally from 1.2298 to 1.2892 resistance next. However, break of 1.2685 will minor support will turn bias back to the downside, for retreat to 55 4H EMA (now at 1.2658) and below.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351(2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2298 support will extend the corrective pattern instead.
USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.33; (P) 156.58; (R1) 157.07; More...
Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral for the moment. Price actions from 160.20 are seen as a corrective pattern. On the upside, break of 156.78 will resume the rise from 151.86, as the second leg, to 100% projection of 151.86 to 156.78 from 153.59 at 158.51. On the downside, below 153.59 will target 151.86 and below as the third leg.
In the bigger picture, a medium term top might be formed at 160.20. But as long as 150.87 resistance turned support holds, fall from there is seen as correcting rise from 150.25 only. However, decisive break of 150.87 will argue that larger correction is possibly underway, and target 146.47 support next.




















