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EUR/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0875; (P) 1.0889; (R1) 1.0905; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains neutral and further rise is in favor as long as 1.0871 minor support holds. Break of 1.0947 will target 100% projection of 1.0601 to 1.0915 from 1.0665 at 1.0979. However, firm break of 1.0871 will turn bias to the downside for deeper fall to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0810) and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern, possibly a triangle, that's still be in progress. Break of 1.1138 resistance will be the first signal that rise from 0.9534 (2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.1274 (2023 high). This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.0601 support holds.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2912; (P) 1.2927; (R1) 1.2949; More...

GBP/USD is extending consolidation from 1.3043 and intraday bias remains neutral. Downside should be contained by 1.2859 resistance turned support to bring another rally. Break of 1.3043 will resume the rise from 1.2298 and target 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2859 from 1.2612 at 1.3173, which is slightly above 1.3141 key medium term resistance. However, firm break of 1.2859 will turn bias to the downside for deeper decline.

In the bigger picture, corrective pattern from 1.3141 medium term top (2023 high) could have completed with three waves to 1.2298 already. This will now remain the favored case as long as 1.2612 support holds. Firm break of 1.3141 will target 61.8% projection of 1.0351 (2022 low) to 1.3141 from 1.2298 at 1.4022.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 156.37; (P) 156.99; (R1) 157.69; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral as range trading continues above 155.36. Further decline is expected with 158.85 resistance intact. Below 155.36 will target 38.2% retracement of 140.25 to 161.94 at 153.65. On the upside, above 158.85 resistance will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, as long as 151.89 resistance turned support holds, long term up trend could still continue through 161.94 at a later stage. Next target will depend on the depth of the current correction from 161.94. However, sustained break of 151.89 will argue that larger scale correction or trend reversal is underway.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8878; (P) 0.8890; (R1) 0.8909; More

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral first as range trading continues above 0.8819. Further decline is in favor as long as 0.8914 support turned resistance holds. Break of 0.8819 will target 61.8% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8672 next. However, break of 0.8914 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound instead.

In the bigger picture, with 0.9243 resistance intact, medium term outlook in USD/CHF is neutral at best. For now, more sideway trading is likely between 0.8332/9243. However, firm break of 0.9243 will indicate larger bullish trend reversal.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6615; (P) 0.6658; (R1) 0.6686; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD as fall from 0.6798 continues to accelerate lower. Sustained trading below 38.2% retracement of 0.6361 to 0.6798 at 0.6631 will raise the chance of near term bearish reversal. Next target will be 61.8% retracement at 0.6528. On the upside, above 0.6679 minor resistance will turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, overall, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern, which is still extending. Break of 0.66870 resistance will extend the rising leg from 0.6269 towards 0.7156 (2023 high). However, break firm break of 0.6619 support will argue that another falling leg has started back towards lower side of the range between 0.6169/6361.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3716; (P) 1.3746; (R1) 1.3786; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays on the upside and outlook is unchanged. Corrective pattern from 1.3845 might have completed with three waves to 1.3588, after hitting 38.2% retracement of 1.3716 to 1.3845 at 1.3589. Further rise should be seen to 1.3790 resistance first. Firm break there will likely resume whole rally from 1.3176 to 61.8% projection of 1.3176 to 1.3845 from 1.3588 at 1.4025. Nevertheless, break of 1.3704 minor support will dampen this bearish case.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8413; (P) 0.8422; (R1) 0.8431; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP is turned neutral again with 4H MACD crossed below signal line. While rebound from 0.8382 could extend higher, outlook will stay bearish as long as 0.8498 resistance holds. Larger down trend should resume through 0.8382 at a later stage.

In the bigger picture, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is in progress. Next target is 0.8201 key support (2022 low). For now, outlook will remain bearish as long as 0.8643 resistance holds, even in case of stronger rebound.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6301; (P) 1.6353; (R1) 1.6448; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD stays on the upside and outlook is unchanged Correction from 1.0762 has possibly completed with three waves down to 1.5996, after hitting 1.6000 fibonacci support. Firm break of 1.6148 resistance will solidify this bullish case and target 1.6742 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 1.6282 resistance turned support will dampen this bullish view and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low) only. Strong support is still expected between 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.6148 resistance will argue that the correction has completed, and the up trend is ready to resume through 1.7062.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9667; (P) 0.9679; (R1) 0.9700; More....

EUR/CHF is staying in consolidations above 0.9641 temporary low and intraday bias remains neutral. Strong bounce from current level will maintain near term bullishness. Break of 0.9972 will resume the rally from 0.9772. However, firm break of 38.2% retracement of 0.9476 to 0.9772 at 0.9659 will extend the fall from 0.9772 to 61.8% retracement at 0.9589 and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, rebound from 0.9252 medium term bottom might not be completed yet. But even in case of resumption, strong resistance could emerge from 1.0095 to limit upside. Medium term outlook will be neutral at best as long as 1.0094 structural resistance holds. Meanwhile, break of 0.9476 will bring retest of 0.9252 low.

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 170.20; (P) 170.93; (R1) 171.79; More...

Range trading continues in EUR/JPY above 169.98 temporary low and intraday bias stays neutral. Further decline is expected as long as 172.91 resistance holds. Below 169.98 will target 38.2% retracement of 153.15 to 175.41 at 166.90, as a correction to whole rise from 153.15. On the upside, though, break of 172.91 resistance will revive near term bullishness and bring retest of 175.41 high.

In the bigger picture, medium term outlook will stay bullish as long as 164.29 resistance turned support holds. Long term up trend is still in favor to continue through 175.41 at a later stage. However, firm break of 164.29 will be a strong sign of bearish trend reversal.