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Daily Pivots: (S1) 198.20; (P) 198.56; (R1) 198.84; More...

GBP/JPY's rally continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Current rise from 191.34, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 200.53, should target 100% projection of 191.34 to 180.07 from 195.02 at 200.75. But upside should be limited there. On the downside, below 198.25 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral first. Further break of 195.02 will argue that the third leg has started, and target 191.34 support and possibly below.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top could be in place at 200.53 after breaching 199.80 long term fibonacci level. As long as 55 W EMA (now at 183.41) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 178.32 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 178.32 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 169.18; (P) 169.56; (R1) 169.90; More...

Further rally remains in favor in EUR/JPY despite loss of upside momentum. Rise form 164.01, as the second leg of the corrective pattern from 171.58, would target 61.8% projection of 164.01 to 169.38 from 167.31 at 170.62. On the downside, break of 167.31 support should turn bias back to the downside to start the third leg towards 164.01.

In the bigger picture, a medium top could be formed at 171.58 after brief breach of 169.96 (2008 high). As long as 55 W EMA (now at 158.30) holds, fall from there is seen as correcting the rise from 153.15 only. However, sustained break of 55 W EMA will argue that larger scale correction is underway and target 153.15 support.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8532; (P) 0.8542; (R1) 0.8549; More...

EUR/GBP accelerates lower today and the break of 0.8529 support argues that larger down trend is ready to resume. Intraday bias stays on the downside for 0.8491/7 support one. Firm break there will confirm this case and target 0.8376 projection level next. On the upside though, above 0.8550 minor resistance will delay the bearish case and turn intraday bias neutral first.

In the bigger picture, outlook remains bearish as EUR/GBP is capped below medium term falling trendline. That is, down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) is still in progress. Firm break of 0.8491/7 will target 100% projection of 0.8764 to 0.8497 from 0.8643 at 0.8376.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6248; (P) 1.6288; (R1) 1.6323; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral, but further decline remains in favor as long as 1.6381 resistance holds. Break of 1.6211 will resume larger corrective decline from 1.7062 to 1.6127 support, or further to 100% projection of 1.7062 to 1.6127 from 1.6742 at 1.5807. However, break of 1.6381 will turn bias back to the upside for stronger rebound.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of deeper fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9873; (P) 0.9884; (R1) 0.9897; More....

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF is turned neutral first as it continued to lose upside momentum ahead of 61.8% projection of 0.9304 to 0.9847 from 0.9563 at 0.9899. Further rally is expected as long as 0.9835 resistance turned support holds. Firm break of 0.9899 will pave the way to 100% projection at 1.0106, which is slightly above 1.0095 key structural resistance. However, break of 0.9835 will turn bias to the downside for deeper pullback.

In the bigger picture, as long as 0.9563 support holds, rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom is still in favor to continue. Next target is 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2689; (P) 1.2708; (R1) 1.2729; More...

GBP/USD's rally from 1.2298 continues today and intraday bias stays on the upside. Further rally should be seen to 100% projection of 1.2298 to 1.2633 from 1.2445 at 1.2780. Firm break there will target 1.2892 resistance next. On the downside, below 1.2685 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral and bring consolidations first, before staging another rally.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg which might have completed already. Break of 1.2892 resistance will argue that larger up trend from 1.0351(2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.3141. Meanwhile, break of 1.2298 support will extend the corrective pattern instead.

UK CPI slowed sharply from 3.2% yoy to 2.3% yoy in April, but above expectation of 2.1% yoy. Core CPI (excluding energy, food, alcohol and tobacco) slowed from 4.2% yoy to 3.9% yoy, above expectation of 3.6% yoy.

CPI goods annual rate turned negative from 0.8% yoy to -0.8% yoy. But CPI services annual rate eased just slightly from 6.0% yoy to 5.9% yoy.

Full UK CPI release here.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0840; (P) 1.0857; (R1) 1.0872; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/USD stays neutral and consolidations continue below 1.0894. Further rally is expected as long as 1.0810 resistance turned support holds. Break of 1.0894 will resume the rise to 1.0980 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm that whole fall from 1.1138 has completed at 1.0601 already.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern. Fall from 1.1138 is seen as the third leg and could have completed. Firm break of 1.1138 will argue that larger up trend from 0.9534 (2022 low) is ready to resume through 1.1274 high. On the downside, break of 1.0601 will extend the corrective pattern instead.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9092; (P) 0.9104; (R1) 0.9122; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF stays mildly on the upside for the moment. Corrective fall from 0.9223 might have completed with three waves down to 0.8987 already. Further rally should be seen back to retest 0.9223. On the downside, below 0.9063 minor support is turned neutral first. Further break of 0.8987 will resume the fall from 0.9223 to 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom are tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Rejection by 0.9243 resistance, followed by sustained break of 38.2% retracement of 0.8332 to 0.9223 at 0.8883 will strengthen this case, and maintain medium term bearishness. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish for 1.0146.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 155.75; (P) 156.03; (R1) 156.56; More...

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains neutral and outlook is unchanged. Price actions from 160.20 are seen as a corrective pattern. On the upside, break of 156.78 will resume the rise from 151.86, as the second leg, to 100% projection of 151.86 to 156.78 from 153.59 at 158.51. On the downside, below 153.59 will target 151.86 and below as the third leg.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top might be formed at 160.20. But as long as 150.87 resistance turned support holds, fall from there is seen as correcting rise from 150.25 only. However, decisive break of 150.87 will argue that larger correction is possibly underway, and target 146.47 support next.