Sample Category Title

AUDUSD Rises Near Short-Term SMAs

  • AUDUSD rebounds off 0.6360
  • Bullish doji indicate upside correction
  • MACD and RSI tick higher

AUDUSD is heading upwards after the bullish doji candle that has been posted last Friday, adding almost 3%. The market is challenging the short-term simple moving averages (SMAs), switching the outlook to a neutral one.

The technical oscillators are suggesting more upside pressure though. The MACD is crossing above its trigger line in the negative territory, while the RSI is trying to jump above the neutral threshold of 50 with strong momentum.

Any movements beyond the SMAs could take traders until the next resistance area of 0.6635-0.6665, which is acting as an upper boundary of a sideways channel. Moving higher, the 0.6730 barricade could be a strong obstacle for the bulls before hitting the 0.6870 level, taken from the peak on December 28.

Alternatively, a downside retracement could open the way for more losses until the previous bottom of 0.6360 and the 0.6340 support level. Steeper decreases may retest the 0.6270 low, registered back on October 26.

To sum up, AUDUSD is returning within the consolidation area, failing to express a clear directional movement in the short-term.

USD/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 154.91; (P) 155.15; (R1) 155.58; More...

USD/JPY's rally accelerates today and breaks through 155.20 fibonacci level. There is no sign of topping yet. Intraday bias stays on the upside at this point. Sustained trading above 155.20 will pave the way 100% projection of 140.25 to 150.87 from 146.47 at 157.09. For now, break of 154.77 resistance turned support is needed to indicate short term toping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, current rise from 140.25 is seen as the third leg of the up trend from 127.20 (2023 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 127.20 to 151.89 from 140.25 at 155.20. Firm there will target 100% projection of 140.25 to 150.87 from 146.47 at 157.09., Outlook will remain bullish as long as 150.87 resistance turned support holds, even in case of deep pullback.

EUR/USD Daily Outlook

.Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.0680; (P) 1.0697; (R1) 1.0716; More...

Immediate focus is now on 1.0723 support turned resistance. Rejection from there, followed by break of 1.0677 minor support, will retain near term bearishness. Retest of 1.0601 low would be seen next. Nevertheless, firm break of 1.0723 will bring stronger rebound to 55 D EMA (now at 1.0786) instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.1274 are viewed as a corrective pattern to rise from 0.9534 (2022 low). Current fall from 1.1138 is seen as the third leg. While deeper decline is would be seen to 1.0447 and possibly below, Strong support should emerge from 61.8% retracement of 0.9534 to 1.1274 at 1.0199 to complete the correction.

GBP/USD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2368; (P) 1.2414; (R1) 1.2495; More...

Near term outlook in GBP/USD remains bearish as long as 1.2538 support turned resistance. holds. Break of 1.2421 minor support will argue that rebound from 1.2298 has completed and bring retest of this low. However, decisive break of 1.2538 will bring stronger rally to 55 D EMA (now at 1.2585) instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3141 medium term top are seen as a corrective pattern to up trend from 1.0351 (2022 low). Fall from 1.2892 is seen as the third leg. Deeper decline would be seen to 1.2036 support and possibly below. But strong support should emerge from 61.8% retracement of 1.0351 to 1.2452 at 1.1417 to complete the correction.

USD/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9121; (P) 0.9138; (R1) 0.9167; More....

Intraday bias in USD/CHF remains neutral and more sideway trading could be seen. Further rally is expected as long as 0.8996 support holds. Break of 0.9151 will resume the larger rise from 0.8332 to 0.9243 resistance. However, firm break of 0.8996 will turn bias to the downside for 55 D EMA (now at 0.8953).

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.8332 medium term bottom as tentatively seen as developing into a corrective pattern to the down trend from 1.0146 (2022 high). Further rise would be seen as long as 0.8728 support holds. But upside should be limited by 0.9243 resistance, at least on first attempt. However, decisive break of 0.9243 will argue that the trend has already reversed and turn medium term outlook bullish.

AUD/USD Daily Report

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.6474; (P) 0.6502; (R1) 0.6526; More...

Intraday bias in AUD/USD remains on the upside for the moment. Sustained break of 55 D EMA (now at 0.6527) will argue that fall from 0.6870 has completed, and bring further rally to 0.6643 resistance next. On the downside, though, break of 0.6440 minor support will indicate rejection by 55 D EMA and retain near term bearishness. Retest of 0.6361 low should be seen next.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 0.6169 (2022 low) are seen as a medium term corrective pattern to the down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high). Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) is seen as the second leg, which is still in progress. Overall, sideway trading could continue in range of 0.6169/7156 for some more time. But as long as 0.7156 holds, an eventual downside breakout would be mildly in favor.

USD/CAD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3662; (P) 1.3696; (R1) 1.3736; More...

Intraday bias in USD/CAD stays neutral with focus on 1.3660 support. Strong rebound from current level will retain near term bullishness. Break of 1.3748 minor resistance will turn intraday bias back to the upside for retesting 1.3845 resistance. However, sustained break of 1.3660 will bring deeper fall to 55 D EMA (now at 1.3592) instead.

In the bigger picture, price actions from 1.3976 (2022 high) are viewed as a corrective pattern only. In case of another fall, strong support should emerge above 1.2947 resistance turned support to bring rebound. Firm break of 1.3976 will confirm up resumption of whole up trend from 1.2005 (2021 low). Next target is 61.8% projection of 1.2401 to 1.3976 from 1.3176 at 1.4149.

EUR/CHF Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.9763; (P) 0.9778; (R1) 0.9808; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/CHF remains on the upside for retesting 0.9847 resistance. Decisive break there will resume larger rally from 0.9252 high. On the downside, below 0.9708 minor support will turn intraday bias neutral again first.

In the bigger picture, while 55 D EMA (now at 0.9655) was breached, EUR/CHF rebounded strongly since then. Rise from 0.9252 medium term bottom should still be in progress. Break of 0.9847 will target 38.2% retracement of 1.2004 (2018 high) to 0.9252 (2023 low) at 1.0303, even as a correction to the down trend from 1.2004. however, sustained trading below 55 D EMA will argue that the rebound has completed.

EUR/GBP Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 0.8579; (P) 0.8589; (R1) 0.8595; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/GBP stays neutral at this point. On the upside, decisive break of medium term trend line resistance (now at 0.8649) will solidify the bullish case of trend reversal, and target 0.8764 resistance next. However, sustained break of 55 4H EMA (now at 0.8580) will indicate rejection by the trend line, and bring retest of 0.8491/7 support zone instead.

In the bigger picture, outlook is mixed up by current strong rebound. On the upside, sustained break of the trend medium term trend resistance will argue that the down trend from 0.9267 (2022 high) has completed as a triangle pattern. Further rise should then be seen through 0.8764 resistance next. However, rejection by the trend line will retain medium term bearishness for another fall through 0.8491 at a later stage.

EUR/AUD Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.6408; (P) 1.6467; (R1) 1.6525; More...

Intraday bias in EUR/AUD remains neutral at this point. On the downside, firm break of 1.6368 support will revive that case that rebound from 1.6127 has completed at 1.6742. Fall from there is seen as the third leg of the pattern from 1.7062. Deeper decline would then be seen to 1.6127 support and below.

In the bigger picture, fall from 1.7062 medium term top is seen as a correction to the up trend from 1.4281 (2022 low). In case of another fall, strong support is expected around 1.5846 and 38.2% retracement of 1.4281 to 1.7062 at 1.6000 to bring rebound. Break of 1.7062 is in favor as a later stage.