With the exception of gold, commodities under our coverage saw net increase in long positions. Optimistic news about coronavirus vaccine lifted market sentiment, raising hopes that global economy could return to normal later next year. According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended November 10, NET...
Crude oil prices jumped amidst more optimistic news above coronavirus vaccine. The market also anticipates OPEC+ to extend the output cut deal until 1Q2021. For the latter, it appears that most OPEC+ producers agree to extend the cut as global oil demand should remain weak for the year ahead....
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks plunged -16.8 mmb to 1402.34 mmb in the week ended November 6. Crude oil inventory gained +4.28 mmb (consensus: -0.91 mmb) to 488.71 mmb. Stockpile increased in 2 out...
Pfizer coronavirus vaccine news has sharply lifted market sentiment. As the positive news raised hopes that the pandemic will soon be under control and global economy will be back on track, gold price, a traditional safe-haven asset, dived. The benchmark Comex contract slumped almost US$100/oz to settle at US$1853.2/oz....
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended November 3, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures plunged -29 360 contracts to 442 460 for the week. Speculative long position declined -20 633 contracts, while shorts gained +8 997 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH...
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks plunged -16.8 mmb to 1402.34 mmb in the week ended October 30. Crude oil inventory dived -8 mmb (consensus: +0.89 mmb) to 484.43 mmb. Stockpile increased in 4 out...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 27, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures declined -18 258 contracts to 472 090 for the week. Speculative long position dropped -4 919 contracts, while shorts soared +13 339 contracts. The front-month WTI crude oil contract...
The front-month WTI crude oil contract slumped to the lower in 4 weeks as increase in US inventory almost quadrupled expectations. The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks plunged -16.8 mmb to 1402.34 mmb in the...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 20, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures jumped +17 551 contracts to 490 348 for the week. Speculative long position rose +14 764 contracts, while shorts dropped -2 787 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH...
The meeting among OPEC+ producers to discuss about revision of output cuts was inconclusive. While a number of OPEC+ producers agreed that weak oil demand outlook might justify more reduction in output, it's yet to know how much more is needed. A greater problem is compliance. As we noted...
WTI crude oil price fluctuated about US$40/bbl last week. Latest forecasts from major oil agencies suggest that impacts of the pandemic on demand will be long-lasting. This could be a barrier for price to go higher. Bets on gold increased in both directions. However, short positions more than doubled...
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks plunged -16.8 mmb to 1402.34 mmb in the week ended October 9. Crude oil inventory fell -3.82 mmb (consensus: -2.84 mmb) to 489.11 mmb. Stockpile gained in 3 out...
The near-term outlook on crude oil price has turned sour, as supply is projected to rise despite high uncertainty in the demand outlook. Both crude oil benchmarks fell more than -2%, as Norwegian output resumes after strike, Libya supply is set to increase further and US production facilities restart...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended October 6, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures gained +9 625 contracts to 471 536 for the week. Speculative long position jumped +9 165 contracts, while shorts dropped -460 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH for...
Net length in gold futures increased as a rise in speculative long positions was accompanied by a fall in speculative shorts. Traders also resumed accumulating gold on price correction. We expect net length in the yellow metal to rise further in the coming week as safe haven demand reemerged...
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks dropped -0.57 mmb to 1421.11 mmb in the week ended September 25. Crude oil inventory dropped -1.98 mmb (consensus: +1.57 mmb) to 492.43 mmb. Stockpile decreased in 4 out...
Crude oil prices have declined for 3 out of the past 4 weeks. the most recent weakness has been driven by concerns over the demand outlook as a third wave of coronavirus outbreak has hit Europe. This is also a reason for the narrowing in WTI-Brent spread although the...
Losing more than -4%, the Comex Gold futures marked its worst week since March amidst US dollar's rebound. The yellow metal's outlook remains bearish in the near-term after the downward breakout after consolation. We expect NET LENGTH to shrink further in the coming week. Crude oil futures recorded increase...
The report from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that total crude oil and petroleum products (ex. SPR) stocks dived -7.48 mmb to 1421.68 mmb in the week ended September 18. Crude oil inventory dropped -1.64 mmb (consensus: +2.33 mmb) to 494.41 mmb. Stockpile decreased in 3 out...
According to the CFTC Commitments of Traders report for the week ended September 15, NET LENGTH for crude oil futures added +378 contracts to 449 744 for the week. Speculative long position rose +11 868 contracts, while shorts also gained +11 490 contracts. For refined oil products, NET LENGTH...
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